MLB · resolved market
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbca37ee86b0241dcab5881879c996fcca5cc6b067524a16c3033fdd0bdf9177d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Cincinnati Reds, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 34,172$12,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,985.15 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 9,359$3,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,912.44 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 7,935$4,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,015.37 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 7,475$4,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,845.25 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 5,639$3,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.71 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 5,132$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.19 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 2,246$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.78 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 2,239$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.38 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 2,215$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.7 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 2,048$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.24 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 1,851$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.42 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 1,538$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.83 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 1,221$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.56 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 1,144$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.91 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 879$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.23 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 878.01$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.77 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 877.01$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.41 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 793.73$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.62 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 781.1$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.84 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 772.44$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.06 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 732.86$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.55 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 590.12$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.3 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 491.67$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.42 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 486.45$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.85 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 482.56$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.37 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 468.76$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.44 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 410.68$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 376$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.77 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 33c | 373.64$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 360.23$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.28 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 327.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.86 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 308.35$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.09 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 307.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.77 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 298.98$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.61 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 192.14$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 181$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.97 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 175.18$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 162$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 158.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Cincinnati Reds | 33c | 137$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 130.7$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.91 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 122.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 81.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 80.64$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 79.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 78.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc29f…dc4ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 76.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 73.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 69.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 33c | 67.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0098…71e0backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 61.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…9bacbacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 61.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c2…e9bfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 58.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 68c | 48.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 41.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 39.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 37.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 35.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…b5e5backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 29.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 247 | 42.9%106 W · 141 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…3320backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 27.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 27.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 25.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 23.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 23.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…822dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 16.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…58f6backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati RedsBaltimore Orioles won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 13.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 14.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 15.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 17.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.