MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1fcc66aa2969e5d5cbf238881f60e406e4eb38505eab21b23c8d2871ddadf13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Tampa Bay Rays, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $577,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $591,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $577,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 180,015$82,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,806.8 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 142,930$77,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,877.02 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 68c | 71,223$48,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,845.23 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals | 32c | 62,566$19,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,883.6 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 40,000$18,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,399.92 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 30,867$19,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,482.32 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 26,831$14,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,342.42 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 18,746$10,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,154.46 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 16,547$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 15,046$7,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,071.68 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,049.98 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 12,634$8,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,386.91 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 26c | 12,535$3,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,313.52 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 11,140$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,995.2 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 10,643$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 8,598$4,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,260.42 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Kansas City Royals | 7c | 7,147$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.3 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 7,084$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100.01 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…6afdbacked Kansas City Royals | 25c | 6,800$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 6,383$3,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.26 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 29c | 6,211$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.11 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.05 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 4,853$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.11 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…f7ebbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 4,620$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Kansas City Royals | 31c | 4,437$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.16 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Kansas City Royals | 34c | 3,980$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 3,841$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.05 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.99 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 3,138$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.24 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 68c | 2,939$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.65 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 2,930$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.49 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.78 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 2,443$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.74 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 2,314$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.44 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 2,035$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.86 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 1,821$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.74 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 1,700$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.12 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…7763backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 1,575$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Kansas City Royals | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.89 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 1,462$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.09 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dec…53b0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 1,445$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.38 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 1,402$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.58 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kansas City Royals | 9c | 1,337$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Kansas City Royals | 25c | 1,257$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.63 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…55a0backed Kansas City Royals | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Kansas City Royals | 32c | 1,208$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.81 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…27d8backed Kansas City Royals | 1c | 1,200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.06 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 986.4$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.74 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Kansas City Royals | 19c | 915.96$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 897.15$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.69 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 796.4$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.27 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Kansas City Royals | 29c | 758.91$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.09 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 69c | 738.41$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.27 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 723$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.58 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 699.95$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.73 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c5…f991backed Kansas City Royals | 29c | 655.17$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 603$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.41 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 571.84$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 550$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 549.56$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.7 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…0845backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 481.53$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.14 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…8b50backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 470$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 460.21$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.9 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 417$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.16 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 405$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.99 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 402.31$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.21 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 399.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…a69cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 397.26$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.74 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 396.55$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 388.89$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.89 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 385.31$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.24 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 346.15$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.87 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 341.55$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.53 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 328.5$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.68 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 326$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.86 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 320.83$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.58 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 320$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.7 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 320$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.7 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0a…2484backed Kansas City Royals | 26c | 315.16$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 296.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Kansas City Royals | 30c | 296.08$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 296$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.16 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.