MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f8a2294bbb84ddf83ba45517799eb02243f447f36c51c8594f4f483ebe81696
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Philadelphia Phillies, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 75c | 26,077$19,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,625.47 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 14,098$5,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,212.32 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 13,724$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Philadelphia Phillies | 14c | 12,762$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.61 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 11,440$6,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,442.38 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.9 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 7,570$4,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,163.25 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 7,542$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.18 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 65c | 7,153$4,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 6,849$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.41 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 6,216$3,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,470.1 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 6,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 5,968$2,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,076.87 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 4,889$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.89 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Kansas City Royals | 67c | 4,206$2,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.96 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 3,640$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.74 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 3,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 3,259$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.32 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 2,612$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 2,400$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Kansas City Royals | 71c | 2,218$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.22 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kansas City Royals | 73c | 2,199$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.67 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 2,142$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.09 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 2,110$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.47 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Kansas City Royals | 69c | 1,989$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.87 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 30c | 1,672$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.27 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,585$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.61 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Kansas City Royals | 66c | 1,431$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.62 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,429$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 1,207$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.38 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 1,150$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.64 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 1,120$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.08 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 1,118$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.87 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kansas City Royals | 69c | 978.64$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.8 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 852.26$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.27 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 25c | 850$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 842.56$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.83 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 780$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Kansas City Royals | 70c | 720$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…b746backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 687.5$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 253 | 51.8%131 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 665.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.12 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Kansas City Royals | 76c | 660$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.24 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 603.06$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.19 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 567.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.7 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 528.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.9 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Kansas City Royals | 79c | 517.18$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.41 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 500$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.5 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 474$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.8 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 464.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.49 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 9c | 460.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 369 | 32.8%121 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 454.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.77 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec30…f1aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 418.87$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 334$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.7 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 332.81$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.7 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 304.83$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.74 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d5…6674backed Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 303.57$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 21c | 297.28$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.29 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 290$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 286.17$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…2d37backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 276.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.12 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09bc…df12backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 239.46$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.49 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Kansas City Royals | 68c | 223$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 220$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…f864backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 214.17$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.71 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 205.06$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.83 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 199.88$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.93 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…f37cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 198.41$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 196.43$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Kansas City Royals | 66c | 188.03$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.73 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 14c | 184.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 181.82$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 181.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 178.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 176.47$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 173.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Kansas City Royals | 73c | 171.55$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 170.44$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc6…1a49backed Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 162.34$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -10.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a86…4eebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 16c | 154.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Kansas City Royals | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x359d…ff6bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Kansas City Royals | 68c | 146.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc9…5155backed Kansas City Royals | 66c | 146$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Kansas City Royals | 51c | 141.21$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.64 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 130$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Kansas City Royals | 73c | 130$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 125$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 447 | 50.6%226 W · 221 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.