MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1db037924b1442aa6a265841933a34c9149028763628f77c5d2cda70071a1e18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Toronto Blue Jays, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $542,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $561,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $542,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 271,046$104,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,941.47 | 4,401 | 47.5%2,090 W · 2,311 L | -76.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 231,659$136,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,858.41 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 57,550$20,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,481.05 | 11,054 | 51.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L | +137.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Seattle Mariners | 65c | 53,846$35,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,846.15 | 263 | 57%150 W · 113 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 23,069$13,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,227.44 | 239 | 54.4%130 W · 109 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 22,026$13,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,790.6 | 988 | 49.9%493 W · 495 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 19,352$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,692 | 50.2%849 W · 843 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…e87cbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 16,169$9,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,305.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 15,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 506 | 52.6%266 W · 240 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 14,570$8,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,682.49 | 447 | 54.8%245 W · 202 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 10,028$4,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,014.29 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 9,845$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,839.69 | 3,107 | 48.1%1,495 W · 1,612 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 8,000$4,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.99 | 5,517 | 50.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 7c | 7,333$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.47 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 7,143$4,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0da…1f80backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 6,666$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 5,714$3,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 130 | 60%78 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 5,345$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.92 | 750 | 50.8%381 W · 369 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 4,942$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.75 | 323 | 51.7%167 W · 156 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Seattle Mariners | 65c | 4,286$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 3,749$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.6 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners | 68c | 3,689$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.89 | 1,530 | 59.4%909 W · 621 L | +82.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Seattle Mariners | 80c | 3,439$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.76 | 980 | 45%441 W · 539 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 69c | 2,765$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.7 | 8,251 | 46.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L | +41.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 2,648$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.48 | 1,537 | 51.2%787 W · 750 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc7…389dbacked Seattle Mariners | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 2,074$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.97 | 2,319 | 51.1%1,184 W · 1,135 L | +26.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Toronto Blue Jays | 5c | 1,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 214 | 36.9%79 W · 135 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 877 | 53%465 W · 412 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…2988backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 1,472$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.1 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 1,255$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.84 | 370 | 49.2%182 W · 188 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 1,197$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 1,171$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.82 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…6fcbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 1,105$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.8 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 1,077$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.66 | 801 | 47.7%382 W · 419 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 1,077$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.88 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Toronto Blue Jays | 5c | 1,028$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 630 | 43.3%273 W · 357 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 1,021$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.52 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 990.44$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.08 | 3,541 | 51%1,805 W · 1,736 L | +53.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 76c | 956.32$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.47 | 8,451 | 47.9%4,048 W · 4,403 L | +81.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 950$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.4 | 1,423 | 43.6%620 W · 803 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 330 | 56.4%186 W · 144 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8707…8b15backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 816.07$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.27 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 800$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 241 | 58.9%142 W · 99 L | +17.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 745$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.45 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 655.01$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.2 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 629.26$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.49 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 607.85$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.14 | 4,524 | 48.9%2,214 W · 2,310 L | -42.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 600.96$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.04 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 593.35$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.34 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 5c | 549.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 2,064 | 39.2%810 W · 1,254 L | -29.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 137 | 59.1%81 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 10c | 502.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…1b01backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 480$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.4 | 588 | 52.9%311 W · 277 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 479.99$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.3 | 1,331 | 44.1%587 W · 744 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 18c | 442.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.81 | 1,911 | 44.4%848 W · 1,063 L | -29.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 415$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.07 | 460 | 45.7%210 W · 250 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 413.11$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.11 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a86…4eebbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 6c | 412.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 390$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.2 | 1,226 | 43.6%534 W · 692 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 390$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.2 | 1,298 | 43.6%566 W · 732 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a4…8c2ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 364$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.24 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…e875backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 341.1$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.85 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 334$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.04 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 333.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.89 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…6674backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 332.64$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.73 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 1,219 | 40.4%493 W · 726 L | -33.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 324$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 525 | 47.4%249 W · 276 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 298.72$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.48 | 596 | 43.1%257 W · 339 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 289.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.27 | 1,671 | 49.1%820 W · 851 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 280$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 1,849 | 50.7%937 W · 912 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 271$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.11 | 972 | 53.1%516 W · 456 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Seattle Mariners | 73c | 268$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.17 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,205 | 49%591 W · 614 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Toronto Blue Jays | 7c | 246.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 929 | 46.1%428 W · 501 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39ce…e2bdbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 228.81$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 209.2$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.59 | 184 | 57.6%106 W · 78 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 6c | 190.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 184.91$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.1 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 184.91$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.81 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…7398backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 170$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 673 | 43.4%292 W · 381 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.