MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18d2ec99bc2e7db532f628df3b517d74f71b82cfa11e50d63ae7988ac1439074
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 42,862$20,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,955.46 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 59c | 15,803$9,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,309.85 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 14,015$7,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,007.45 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 50c | 13,255$6,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,627.67 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7973…34d4backed Over | 50c | 8,666$4,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,332.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 6,546$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,701.94 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Over | 50c | 4,104$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.24 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Over | 50c | 3,586$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 49c | 3,352$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.43 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 2,343$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.77 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Over | 51c | 1,927$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.09 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 49c | 1,489$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.01 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Under | 21c | 1,430$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.18 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Over | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.35 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 50c | 650$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 55c | 545.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 42c | 531.23$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.77 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 39c | 527.78$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 50c | 435.72$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.86 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 50c | 390.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.45 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 54c | 371$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.94 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 50c | 330.9$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.95 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 63c | 315.68$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.61 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 49c | 301.53$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.79 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 49c | 288.69$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.78 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 51c | 267$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.83 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 261.55$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.33 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 62c | 253.71$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.43 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…293ebacked Under | 36c | 213.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…594bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 51c | 196.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.12 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Over | 41c | 181$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.79 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 27c | 180$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 49c | 158.04$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.09 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 51c | 152.29$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 50c | 133.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Over | 36c | 132.69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.32 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -13.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 63c | 123$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 79c | 121.26$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Under | 67c | 114$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 50c | 102.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540e…263dbacked Under | 20c | 99.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 50c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 49c | 86.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 46c | 82.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Under | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1164…f58bbacked Over | 76c | 71.96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 49c | 71.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Over | 47c | 58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Over | 46c | 57.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…18c6backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 39c | 45.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 50c | 40.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Over | 43c | 40.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d69…ab3abacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…0f4cbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 50c | 37.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Over | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc28…ede2backed Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…1068backed Under | 49c | 29.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a86…4eebbacked Under | 62c | 23.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…7210backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…a7d2backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Over | 51c | 19.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle MarinersSeattle Mariners won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.