TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$245,995
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$248,377

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $245,995 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd81e…e3d0backed Spurs52c99,035$51,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,498.366445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks48c97,337$46,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,609.261,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Spurs43c14,621$6,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,287.0311333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Knicks55c13,048$7,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,916.128056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs55c12,190$6,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,704.3318651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs45c11,111$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0009725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Knicks55c9,493$5,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,271.8926753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs44c9,349$4,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1546,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…1556backed Knicks57c8,686$4,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,777.965646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks55c7,153$3,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,183.8364948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…57e7backed Knicks58c5,181$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,180.551758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Knicks75c5,043$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.251957.9%11 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Knicks50c4,048$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,026.9411946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Spurs44c3,813$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.543036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Knicks44c3,687$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.5456646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5233…37c1backed Knicks56c2,766$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.291861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaa0…09b4backed Knicks57c2,592$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.471457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed Knicks35c2,539$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,651.261827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick42cpaid+2.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Spurs45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90016633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs42c1,933$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.098,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs46c1,828$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.0352150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Knicks47c1,758$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.8912451.6%64 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Spurs66c1,660$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Spurs51c1,543$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.5669848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Spurs42c1,540$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.6910248%49 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs44c1,400$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.81,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs50c1,359$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.721,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Knicks55c1,348$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.1225651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks47c1,043$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.0355251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs14c1,034$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.831,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs19c1,031$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Spurs27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5202,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Knicks57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4303878.9%30 W · 8 L+13.2wins+0.35per pick44cpaid+73.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Knicks56c902.29$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.2984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs27c800$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.381,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Knicks57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.7595452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Knicks59c699.74$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.891,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks56c646.95$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.664,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Spurs42c635.14$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.7611145.9%51 W · 60 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Knicks59c633.19$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.8819246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Spurs44c615.29$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.9618235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Knicks56c607.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.5117247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Knicks62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22818743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Knicks56c599.99$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2642665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+30.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Knicks55c566.87$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.0915850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks59c544.37$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.653842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Knicks55c541.28$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.3619959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Spurs44c539.99$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.612146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed Knicks47c510.87$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.875151%26 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32d6…a8f5backed Spurs72c506$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.326946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Spurs45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Knicks55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Knicks49c486.69$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.8192750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Knicks28c474.86$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.813,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs26c465.17$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2642842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa712…982cbacked Knicks57c459.99$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.84261.9%26 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Spurs44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20029040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Spurs44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x744b…848ebacked Knicks55c433.13$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.9114552.4%76 W · 69 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Knicks56c400.44$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1993543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Spurs43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17214148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks47c397.37$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.161,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6af…a0ebbacked Spurs46c377.67$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.733056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs38c369.53$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.232,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks53c356.64$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7860250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Knicks45c333.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.281,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Knicks57c305.26$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.2611258.9%66 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Knicks57c305.26$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.2611743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cbb…8a37backed Spurs44c301.41$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.624148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Spurs45c260$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1179438.3%36 W · 58 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Knicks41c246.47$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.4239842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27fa…d8c4backed Knicks44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+129.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Knicks53c225$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.759956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5dd1…d33cbacked Spurs44c220.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.192045%9 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Knicks56c216.69$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.358848.9%43 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs33c213.18$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.291,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Knicks51c212.06$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Knicks51c212.06$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9163746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Spurs24c208$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.924330.2%13 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96f4…32e8backed Knicks50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Spurs44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8844345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Knicks57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8625657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs11c198$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2430842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Spurs44c197.73$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876346%29 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Knicks16c193.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.7625045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Knicks14c188.78$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.3516429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a61…e6d8backed Spurs55c177.72$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.953063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Knicks58c168.09$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.711242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Knicks57c150.77$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8335546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Knicks56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6652242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed Knicks49c149.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4916547.3%78 W · 87 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs44c144.55$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.291,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f1…1ebdbacked Knicks56c142.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.863658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Knicks56c142.01$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4825954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks55c124.52$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6366352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x524b…73a2backed Knicks57c119.75$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.49875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Spurs58c117.79$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3211447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd268…4537backed Knicks57c116.12$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.931060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf0…18d5backed Spurs44c113.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.16875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.