MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5ba477bc4c742a9e4dd6e1725702951ddf0048d2a7291e7d0363cc78f17375e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Baltimore Orioles, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $333,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $356,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $333,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 64,437$28,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,440.58 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 43,229$19,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,208.2 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 28,117$15,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,745.3 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 22,300$12,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,265 | 277 | 53.1%147 W · 130 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 17,598$9,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,678.71 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 34c | 14,258$4,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,903.53 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 13,062$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.7 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 11,680$7,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,268.47 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 10,800$6,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,048 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 10,508$5,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,286.03 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 8,950$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 22c | 6,941$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.64 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 6,463$3,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,619.04 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 6,061$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,394.12 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9e…1997backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 4,407$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468.02 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 4,098$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.89 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 3,916$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.21 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 3,481$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.3 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 3,302$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.2 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Boston Red Sox | 65c | 2,975$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 2,401$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.68 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 2,302$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.17 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 2,275$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.99 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 68c | 1,584$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.56 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,555$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.6 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,510$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.61 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Baltimore Orioles | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 1,336$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.67 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,250$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.5 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…dccabacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 1,248$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.61 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Boston Red Sox | 15c | 1,200$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,155$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.87 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,089$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.02 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 875.34$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.82 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Boston Red Sox | 17c | 862.94$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.15 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 860.28$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.58 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e8…ec60backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 849.97$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Baltimore Orioles | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…7d45backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 799$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Boston Red Sox | 25c | 792.86$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 739.48$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.69 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 737.22$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.1 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 731.89$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.18 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 728.92$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.8 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 696.43$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afc…5d32backed Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 672.02$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.35 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Boston Red Sox | 32c | 650.46$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.1 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Boston Red Sox | 17c | 618$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Boston Red Sox | 32c | 612$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.84 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Boston Red Sox | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Boston Red Sox | 26c | 600.05$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.62 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 560$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.4 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 543.48$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.91 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 526.57$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 518.16$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.17 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 488.3$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.45 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Boston Red Sox | 26c | 479.91$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Boston Red Sox | 19c | 479.04$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…8264backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 464.29$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…a40abacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 452.86$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 447$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.32 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c3…3909backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Boston Red Sox | 26c | 444.33$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 425.55$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.05 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 421.05$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.58 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Boston Red Sox | 12c | 410.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…7d88backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 408.96$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.75 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Baltimore Orioles | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 390$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 286 | 47.2%135 W · 151 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Boston Red Sox | 17c | 374.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 359$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.88 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Baltimore Orioles | 74c | 358$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.08 | 462 | 51.7%239 W · 223 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 352.87$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.78 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 350$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 349.36$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.31 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox | 35c | 327.59$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.09 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 319.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 315$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 312.5$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Boston Red Sox | 44c | 310.26$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.51 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Boston Red Sox | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 816 | 57.1%466 W · 350 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Boston Red Sox | 21c | 304.29$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…aa9ebacked Boston Red Sox | 17c | 301.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 299.22$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.58 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 6.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.