WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28d77683bd29d39f3130faf1fd828db33c73ab180a4e82b45b7d7982f3a01107
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Lynxof Dallas Wings, Minnesota Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 41,930$20,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,972.82 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 9,200$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72f8…8ea0backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 8,970$4,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,515 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 7,037$3,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.85 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 5,094$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.63 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 4,392$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.75 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 3,875$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.15 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 3,245$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 53cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 1,935$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.75 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 1,445$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.87 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 1,444$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.87 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 1,141$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.56 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 1,013$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.8 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8476…dc8dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 938.94$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.69 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 666.24$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.05 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 529.89$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.84 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Dallas Wings | 47c | 506.6$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 499.97$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.98 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 466$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.66 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 365.73$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.55 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 346.15$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.15 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…9805backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 221$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.29 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 199.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c2…44c6backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 193.8$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 192.31$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb076…2f98backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 189$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 188.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.46 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 180.29$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +11.1wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 140.14$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa422…d210backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 88.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 77.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Dallas Wings | 42c | 67.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 60.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 60.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 60.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 60.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 55.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 55.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Minnesota Lynx | 43c | 50.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 44.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…4bb5backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 40.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ed98backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 32.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…1d31backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5079…e560backed Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9e…9aa0backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 25.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 36 | 77.8%28 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…61a7backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 23.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x375f…b494backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 22.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4978…ea9abacked Minnesota Lynx | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4135…185fbacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b92cbacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 19.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5)this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas WingsMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 178.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 179.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.