WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 179.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b18419ccb64e6b9ebd9111c71baa3ad0212e9154533cea3c558fef4dcf85c8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,141
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,141 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 55c | 2,179$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.51 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Over | 55c | 2,020$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.38 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -64%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Under | 45c | 1,878$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.93 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 45c | 1,693$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.32 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 35c | 618.82$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.94 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…fc19backed Over | 46c | 480.43$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 46c | 407.96$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.3 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 50c | 201.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…2c38backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cd…7db3backed Over | 55c | 192$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f1…35f8backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…4933backed Over | 56c | 137.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 49c | 121.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 51c | 118.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 80.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…6a07backed Under | 55c | 70.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…65bbbacked Under | 55c | 60.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f59…bd2dbacked Over | 62c | 59.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 50c | 46.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 45c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb768…37dabacked Under | 66c | 37.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6954…80f6backed Over | 54c | 37.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 45c | 34.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc322…a836backed Over | 61c | 32.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 62cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 27.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 23.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Under | 45c | 23.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 179.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas WingsMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 178.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.