WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 178.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97a00a625adef2eae711492f0cfd7a155955e8b42bd24a26930365e430f62fd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Over | 53c | 19,594$10,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,385.08 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 47c | 7,283$3,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,859.99 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf160…c3e7backed Under | 47c | 5,040$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 50c | 2,214$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 50c | 2,142$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.78 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c49…03d0backed Under | 47c | 1,767$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…9ad8backed Under | 47c | 1,680$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 52c | 961.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Under | 52c | 707.42$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.64 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 51c | 699.99$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 52c | 499.98$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Over | 52c | 429.98$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.59 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -64%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 47c | 400$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 47c | 380$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Under | 52c | 376.92$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.92 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 211.77$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.12 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 48c | 183.86$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.61 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed Under | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 100.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 52c | 88.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…4933backed Over | 53c | 85.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Under | 52c | 79.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 48c | 72.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 52c | 69.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 47c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…1d65backed Under | 48c | 53.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 56cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…8758backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 48c | 48.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…7233backed Under | 52c | 44.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb455…a58abacked Under | 47c | 43.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b65…e6bfbacked Under | 47c | 40.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +130.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Under | 48c | 25.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +6.6wins | +0.30per pick | 61cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…c5aebacked Under | 52c | 21.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Under | 48c | 21.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 52c | 19.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 178.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas WingsMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 179.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.