WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Dallas Wings (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1accb58c5f7dc7138640ebb1b1fb38d5c0d9a1bcdad66ed8c2854c17031f316
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Lynxof Dallas Wings, Minnesota Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 2,380$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.16 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 2,369$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.36 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 2,362$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.93 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Dallas Wings | 45c | 1,619$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.42 | 214 | 47.7%102 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Dallas Wings | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 801.99$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 799.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Dallas Wings | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Minnesota Lynx | 40c | 495$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Minnesota Lynx | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Dallas Wings | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Dallas Wings | 58c | 138.31$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Minnesota Lynx | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Minnesota Lynx | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Dallas Wings | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Dallas Wings | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Dallas Wings | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Dallas Wings | 73c | 39.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…1d74backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 30.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Minnesota Lynx | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe461…c5aebacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 21.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-2.5)this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas WingsMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 178.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 179.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.