WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa19b22576c5e3dea4f0232fb2519a39fae1bfd96d930c4bcf119aa84432f7d19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 49c | 10,000$4,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,894.99 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Under | 51c | 6,954$3,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,407.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 51c | 5,145$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,521.22 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 3,706$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.45 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 49c | 2,331$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.19 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Over | 50c | 2,090$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 53c | 1,679$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 53c | 1,200$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04e…376abacked Under | 51c | 1,006$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Over | 49c | 796.27$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.07 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -64%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 56c | 796.23$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.45 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 751.19$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.98 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 56c | 669.18$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.74 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Under | 51c | 655$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.95 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…c845backed Over | 44c | 460.52$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 52c | 361.73$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.96 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 52c | 361.35$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.45 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 40c | 322.97$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.05 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f1…35f8backed Over | 78c | 255.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Under | 75c | 253.67$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 49c | 248.09$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.99 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Under | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Over | 45c | 222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 46c | 196.86$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.53 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 194.94$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.69 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 56c | 181$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.33 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 170.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.84 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 54c | 152.09$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 59c | 140.82$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.61 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Under | 24c | 120$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Under | 24c | 120$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 42c | 118.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.97 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 65c | 113.44$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 43c | 102.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…4933backed Over | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 53c | 85.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Over | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 46c | 72.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…fe26backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 48c | 69.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…78abbacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81ce…f562backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 52c | 50.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 58c | 50.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…2bb3backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c5…8511backed Under | 51c | 48.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 49c | 47.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…04a7backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Over | 44c | 45.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 49c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Over | 39c | 40.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…e8d8backed Over | 50c | 40.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 77c | 39.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…d4fbbacked Over | 50c | 37.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 51c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 47c | 36.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 33.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 52c | 33.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…5f36backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Under | 53c | 28.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 49c | 26.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…61a7backed Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Under | 63c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 68c | 21.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb768…37dabacked Over | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 177.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas WingsMinnesota Lynx won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 178.5Under won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 179.5Under won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-2.5)Minnesota Lynx won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-3.5)Minnesota Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.