TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Detroit Tigersof Tampa Bay Rays, Detroit Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,052
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,461

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,052 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays44c17,318$7,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,566.294,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Tampa Bay Rays19c11,754$2,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,223.857934.2%27 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Tampa Bay Rays43c11,628$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00023846.6%111 W · 127 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Tampa Bay Rays44c10,200$4,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,48818241.2%75 W · 107 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers57c10,019$5,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,350.5911,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Detroit Tigers56c9,000$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,959.992,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Detroit Tigers57c7,777$4,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,344.1147953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Detroit Tigers57c4,887$2,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,101.4192054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaba5…4e0ebacked Tampa Bay Rays43c4,649$2,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,010.7417460.9%106 W · 68 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Detroit Tigers56c2,993$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.8677951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Detroit Tigers57c2,643$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.6224150.6%122 W · 119 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Detroit Tigers56c2,642$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.021,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers57c2,631$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.553,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers55c2,612$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.225,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Detroit Tigers55c2,269$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.591,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Tampa Bay Rays45c2,247$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024344.4%108 W · 135 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Tampa Bay Rays44c2,166$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.112,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Detroit Tigers57c1,860$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.791,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad64…2f33backed Tampa Bay Rays43c1,744$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7506429.7%19 W · 45 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Detroit Tigers76c1,612$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.753,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Tampa Bay Rays43c1,551$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.2236440.1%146 W · 218 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Detroit Tigers57c1,520$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.8589053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Detroit Tigers57c1,474$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.7121550.2%108 W · 107 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Tampa Bay Rays43c1,318$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.619346.2%43 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers56c1,174$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.616,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x797f…f08abacked Tampa Bay Rays43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008050%40 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Tampa Bay Rays43c1,160$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.794837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Detroit Tigers57c1,147$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.1132251.6%166 W · 156 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1fe…f03dbacked Detroit Tigers57c1,111$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.672657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Detroit Tigers56c1,093$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.144,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Tampa Bay Rays43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.0416248.8%79 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Tampa Bay Rays43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43024946.2%115 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Detroit Tigers56c880.42$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.3828154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Detroit Tigers57c753.21$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.882,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Detroit Tigers56c571.31$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.9599447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays18c555.67$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.138,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays26c502.57$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Tampa Bay Rays43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21570744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Detroit Tigers76c394.73$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.742,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Detroit Tigers57c368$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.132,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Detroit Tigers57c356$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.282,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Tampa Bay Rays43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1295653.6%30 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa69d…228ebacked Tampa Bay Rays43c280$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.419335.8%69 W · 124 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed Detroit Tigers55c256.41$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.384652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf86…984cbacked Detroit Tigers57c250.11$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.55560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c5…5a2fbacked Tampa Bay Rays43c231.28$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.451942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Tampa Bay Rays43c216.23$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9332850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Tampa Bay Rays25c213$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.18,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Detroit Tigers56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8814549%71 W · 74 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Detroit Tigers57c175.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4314057.9%81 W · 59 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc97f…2da1backed Detroit Tigers57c137.26$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.02450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Detroit Tigers56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.82,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb169…bb17backed Tampa Bay Rays44c118.57$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.17540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8e4…53bbbacked Tampa Bay Rays43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506152.5%32 W · 29 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Tampa Bay Rays44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047849%234 W · 244 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x522f…1342backed Detroit Tigers57c112.54$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7314…9b04backed Tampa Bay Rays44c108.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9350%0 W · 5 L-3.0wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1655…08e1backed Tampa Bay Rays44c106.82$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4588…aa84backed Tampa Bay Rays44c100.52$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.23450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6752…bc58backed Detroit Tigers57c96.01$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeded…bfe9backed Tampa Bay Rays43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405738.6%22 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc593…f6f7backed Tampa Bay Rays44c93.02$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.93450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Tampa Bay Rays43c90$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.756440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9292…7d85backed Detroit Tigers57c75.24$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ff…c593backed Tampa Bay Rays44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fee…3d67backed Tampa Bay Rays43c65.44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.145947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Detroit Tigers57c61.37$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3943560%261 W · 174 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f50…069bbacked Tampa Bay Rays43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.816345.4%74 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Tampa Bay Rays43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2526747.9%128 W · 139 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Detroit Tigers55c53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8525850.4%130 W · 128 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Detroit Tigers58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7294549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Tampa Bay Rays43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ff…ec82backed Tampa Bay Rays43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021554.9%118 W · 97 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fd1…344fbacked Tampa Bay Rays43c42.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.21145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Detroit Tigers57c40.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.241,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Tampa Bay Rays45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1822554.7%123 W · 102 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Detroit Tigers56c35.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7122849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb6…d381backed Tampa Bay Rays43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154035%14 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x517a…6491backed Tampa Bay Rays43c34.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.659354.8%51 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5079…e560backed Tampa Bay Rays45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157454.1%40 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Detroit Tigers57c33.28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3165359.6%389 W · 264 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Detroit Tigers56c28.7$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.631,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Tampa Bay Rays43c26.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.659749.9%298 W · 299 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Detroit Tigers57c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.81258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x257b…c08bbacked Tampa Bay Rays43c24.56$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5619147.6%91 W · 100 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Detroit Tigers57c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3278155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Detroit Tigers75c20.82$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.251,44550.3%727 W · 718 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41c3…4d56backed Detroit Tigers58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.43458.8%20 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Detroit Tigers57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.641513.3%2 W · 13 L-5.3wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-73.8%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Detroit Tigers57c19.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.33,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Detroit Tigers78c14.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.2426063.8%166 W · 94 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.