MLB · resolved market

Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c5421da51080b9134de51211afd0931c2d5ecc924df061a3b32f3df61284d5d

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $104,059
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $108,060

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,059 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb91a…3987backed Over	54c	59,642$32,207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,435.47	135	61.5%83 W · 52 L	+15.2wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under	46c	23,236$10,689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,688.75	322	51.6%166 W · 156 L	+8.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Under	46c	15,076$6,935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,934.96	116	56.9%66 W · 50 L	+8.1wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under	45c	7,777$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,499.65	479	53.2%255 W · 224 L	+18.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under	46c	7,734$3,568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,568.2	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	54c	6,861$3,719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,141.96	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	45c	6,624$2,985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,984.89	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Over	55c	2,633$1,454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,179.14	83	53%44 W · 39 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked Over	57c	2,632$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,131.58	69	42%29 W · 40 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Under	46c	2,375$1,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,092.5	187	41.2%77 W · 110 L	-11.2wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Over	63c	2,000$1,267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$733.44	517	56.5%292 W · 225 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	46c	1,723$792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$792.49	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5e…c32abacked Under	7c	1,511$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.7wins	-0.16per pick	51cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	14c	1,456$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.9	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under	46c	1,450$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.07	1,056	48.3%510 W · 546 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	46c	1,221$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.33	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under	46c	1,152$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530.1	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	46c	1,121$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.14	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	41c	1,031$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.12	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	54c	1,000$536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$464.47	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	47c	995$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.68	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	45c	805$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.25	750	49.7%373 W · 377 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under	46c	639.09$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.98	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under	32c	622$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.94	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Over	52c	600$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under	44c	597.7$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262	299	50.5%151 W · 148 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Over	55c	355.27$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.87	61	54.1%33 W · 28 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Over	53c	280$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.01	890	53.1%473 W · 417 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	30c	251.21$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.03	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8fd…3e24backed Over	52c	200$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	110	47.3%52 W · 58 L	-8.5wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Under	48c	198.31$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.19	370	52.2%193 W · 177 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over	61c	195$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.2	1,279	51.2%655 W · 624 L	-19.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under	48c	192.34$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.32	241	50.6%122 W · 119 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7772…0e56backed Over	52c	192$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.16	208	48.6%101 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Under	25c	188.13$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.12	880	46.4%408 W · 472 L	-22.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	64c	183$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.88	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Over	55c	182$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.9	1,137	46.3%526 W · 611 L	+36.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf3f…1365backed Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	151	59.6%90 W · 61 L	+10.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Over	59c	137.29$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.29	229	48%110 W · 119 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	47c	120$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.8	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under	46c	108$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.68	781	55.6%434 W · 347 L	+28.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	2,376	49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	994	47.3%470 W · 524 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	1,001	48.3%483 W · 518 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dea…5e23backed Under	47c	88$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.36	425	50.1%213 W · 212 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	47c	86.04$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.72	2,945	47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over	52c	64$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.72	258	50.4%130 W · 128 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f6…0981backed Over	55c	63.64$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.64	158	57.6%91 W · 67 L	+7.3wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under	45c	63.64$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.64	779	51.1%398 W · 381 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over	53c	56.6$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.6	1,197	53.9%645 W · 552 L	+42.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Over	54c	55.92$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.92	162	51.9%84 W · 78 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Under	47c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	556	43.9%244 W · 312 L	-38.6wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Over	55c	48.38$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.77	295	53.2%157 W · 138 L	+7.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over	55c	45.45$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.45	267	47.9%128 W · 139 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	46c	45$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.7	1,172	49.1%575 W · 597 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under	46c	40.1$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.45	1,062	49.2%523 W · 539 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Under	47c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.95	1,445	50.3%727 W · 718 L	-27.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over	55c	21.09$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.49	597	49.9%298 W · 299 L	+19.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over	66c	20.94$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.12	2,583	61.4%1,587 W · 996 L	+70.9wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5this page
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay RaysDetroit Tigers won
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Over won
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5Over won
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 12.5Over won
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 13.5Over won
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 14.5Over won
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 15.5Over won
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 16.5Over won
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-5.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)Detroit Tigers won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event