MLB · resolved market
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ff1401a311b5b0b261eb3b965a130ead6cfb018893b3dd72b0dae79455996e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Detroit Tigers, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 31c | 6,020$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,146.13 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers | 64c | 4,301$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751.77 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Detroit Tigers | 29c | 1,332$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.34 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Detroit Tigers | 69c | 1,124$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.87 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 28c | 822.25$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Detroit Tigers | 29c | 581.88$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.58 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Detroit Tigers | 29c | 523.2$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.21 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 13c | 485.31$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.22 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 72c | 421.95$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.92 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 420.74$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.89 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 18c | 400$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Detroit Tigers | 76c | 394.72$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 22c | 263.74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.65 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Detroit Tigers | 74c | 199.9$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.92 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Detroit Tigers | 28c | 182.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…3adfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 72c | 152.09$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1655…08e1backed Detroit Tigers | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Detroit Tigers | 69c | 135.51$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.98 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 117.03$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 115.74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.98 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 96.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Detroit Tigers | 75c | 93.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…5737backed Tampa Bay Rays | 31c | 79.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 77c | 71.7$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 29 | 86.2%25 W · 4 L | +8.3wins | +0.29per pick | 58cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 65.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 56.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 136 | 72.1%98 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 32c | 52.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 50.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Detroit Tigers | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Detroit Tigers | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 33c | 49.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 72c | 47.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Detroit Tigers | 28c | 39.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Detroit Tigers | 79c | 37.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 31c | 36.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 33.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Detroit Tigers | 80c | 24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers | 73c | 20.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed Detroit Tigers | 72c | 15.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked Detroit Tigers | 78c | 14.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay RaysDetroit Tigers won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 12.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 13.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 14.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 15.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 16.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-5.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.