TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,487
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,588

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,487 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs41c18,341$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5009725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Knicks59c5,525$3,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,253.3655251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Knicks59c4,481$2,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,837.19785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+39.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Spurs22c4,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.9816633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x684b…a1fabacked Knicks60c3,968$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.2977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.38per pick40cpaid+148.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1d17…f3adbacked Spurs39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.631127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Spurs39c2,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.9944252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks78c2,473$1,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.148,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs40c2,341$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.8764948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks60c2,125$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.011,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ef6…43f4backed Knicks61c2,044$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks61c1,897$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.0525352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks60c1,866$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.9852150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2542…7821backed Knicks59c1,351$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.91963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Knicks59c1,271$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.182951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Knicks60c1,194$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.9512146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs42c1,094$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.9110944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39066352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Knicks59c762.71$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.714358.1%25 W · 18 L+6.8wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+53.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spurs49c629.97$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.681,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs39c588.56$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.544,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59d6…0704backed Knicks63c555.87$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.8718755.6%104 W · 83 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs40c547.29$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.916,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe94b…5abebacked Knicks61c521.87$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.432642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31b7…21fbbacked Knicks62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1901877.8%14 W · 4 L+5.2wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+79.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x6075…2f82backed Knicks61c489.77$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.011963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Spurs41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-68.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Spurs6c455.49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3319246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Spurs40c440.02$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.011,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs44c385.3$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.862,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Knicks79c370$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8245445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Knicks60c350$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.58355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Knicks73c340.42$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9913148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Spurs46c311.3$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.694746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe6ad…85f7backed Spurs40c293.35$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.346835.3%24 W · 44 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cad…341dbacked Knicks69c291.65$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.653158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spurs40c266.98$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks60c260.2$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.741,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Knicks60c255.18$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5818653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f9…b000backed Spurs40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed Spurs41c246.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Spurs48c241.29$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7815044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Knicks61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7825657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Knicks60c193.62$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1925954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa7c4…256ebacked Spurs40c187.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75205%1 W · 19 L-5.8wins-0.29per pick34cpaid-89.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Knicks60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6713161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Spurs39c164.25$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0619959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3880…b354backed Knicks61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.93875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+87.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Knicks59c162$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.421,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x814e…40b1backed Knicks63c157.94$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks67c146.31$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7653842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a7…1225backed Knicks61c139.34$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.34955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf53c…a9f3backed Spurs40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13dc…09fdbacked Spurs40c122.69$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.08450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdb6…4fe4backed Spurs40c114.85$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.94837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5233…37c1backed Knicks61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b37…17bdbacked Spurs23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2312434.7%43 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Knicks62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3883039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed Knicks51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4916547.3%78 W · 87 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c0c…b626backed Spurs40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015927%43 W · 116 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Spurs40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4029346.4%136 W · 157 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Knicks51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0417848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Spurs39c89.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0a1…6daebacked Knicks56c89.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4322442.9%96 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Knicks60c84.78$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9114148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Knicks78c84.65$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4625554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Spurs41c83.76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5725340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Knicks60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+29.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bfa…9c71backed Knicks61c80.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.28757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Knicks59c79.62$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.823920.5%8 W · 31 L-9.1wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-64.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Spurs27c77.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9842842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f5…1d29backed Knicks60c77.35$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.941593.3%14 W · 1 L+6.5wins+0.44per pick50cpaid+92.5%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xf59b…7ab0backed Spurs39c75.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f88…df1fbacked Spurs40c70$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Spurs43c67.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4512150.4%61 W · 60 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1201…a74dbacked Knicks61c65.57$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.571080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x630f…5501backed Knicks63c63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235461.1%33 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+42.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xac15…75a4backed Knicks52c61.54$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.541656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Knicks78c61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4225944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Knicks53c56.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6642740.3%172 W · 255 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Knicks60c56.67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6760049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Spurs39c54.16$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.171,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddcd…39d9backed Knicks61c52.46$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.463855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x375f…b494backed Spurs40c51.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.72646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Knicks60c51$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.434850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Knicks71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.525045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87ed…db97backed Spurs45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.58534.1%29 W · 56 L-9.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd148…6b52backed Spurs40c49.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.613240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be8…f449backed Spurs41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209644.8%43 W · 53 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Spurs40c48.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.313551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Knicks61c44.16$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2215753.5%84 W · 73 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0da6…1615backed Spurs35c40.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Spurs41c35.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4262144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs45c33.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0368838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks60c33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.131,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5079…e560backed Knicks61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.793063.3%19 W · 11 L+4.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+51%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs41c32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.122,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x525f…0f46backed Knicks61c31.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Knicks78c30.74$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7611364.6%73 W · 40 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.