WNBA · resolved market
Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty: O/U 178.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a57ad8d1846ed67b92bfaf2fb58080494118ec04752d388fd2d08ac89e5d32a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 50c | 20,000$9,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,019.2 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 50c | 8,539$4,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,269.54 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 5,400$2,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,741.92 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 48c | 4,094$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.07 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…5136backed Over | 52c | 3,900$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 3,881$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.42 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 3,160$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.82 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc87c…afd7backed Over | 50c | 2,764$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 50c | 1,458$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed Over | 52c | 1,245$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Over | 51c | 1,214$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Over | 50c | 920$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Over | 50c | 616$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 44c | 615.51$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.37 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 50c | 611.82$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.51 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Over | 52c | 555$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.6 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over | 52c | 528$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 48c | 458$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.84 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Under | 48c | 452.08$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.08 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Over | 52c | 388$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.76 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 50c | 301.8$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.9 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…c67cbacked Under | 51c | 296.08$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.08 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 48c | 266.27$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 49c | 241.94$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.56 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…ccbebacked Under | 60c | 207.72$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 48c | 207.06$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.67 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec9…02f6backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Under | 51c | 191.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Under | 51c | 164.71$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3154…082bbacked Under | 50c | 154.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ba…d4fbbacked Under | 51c | 154.28$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.48 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…ccf4backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Over | 49c | 112.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 49c | 99.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…3350backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcae…39b1backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…1df0backed Over | 52c | 70.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffc…a5b7backed Under | 51c | 64.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +10.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…8758backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 51c | 49.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…8786backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 42c | 47.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 50c | 46.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 48c | 41.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Under | 54c | 35.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c42…93bfbacked Over | 49c | 34.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 50c | 34.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 50c | 33.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 50c | 26.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Over | 50c | 25.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Over | 50c | 21.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +6.6wins | +0.30per pick | 61cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Under | 48c | 20.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Under | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…06a2backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5079…e560backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty: O/U 178.5this page
- Dallas Wings vs. New York LibertyDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty: O/U 176.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty: O/U 179.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.