WNBA · resolved market
Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty: O/U 179.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x112c93fae4f0e28f2284d400513dba0dbadca360969322be6589046c95fdf876
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 2,788$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.4 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Under | 50c | 2,704$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.93 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…c67cbacked Under | 52c | 2,507$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.96 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 1,965$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.44 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 1,513$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.56 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Over | 50c | 910$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Over | 48c | 599.47$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.75 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 46c | 310.18$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.11 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 54c | 208$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.86 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Under | 52c | 77.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9a…9090backed Over | 56c | 75.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f3…c682backed Under | 51c | 45.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…39e5backed Under | 52c | 41.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…e1f9backed Under | 50c | 34.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 50c | 26.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty: O/U 179.5this page
- Dallas Wings vs. New York LibertyDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty: O/U 176.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty: O/U 178.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.