WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fbd244b05b864b5e283762a96181d4ea6456c7abed25ad01b4a9d97f7500ce1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dallas Wingsof New York Liberty, Dallas Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty | 46c | 11,687$5,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,429.92 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 11,636$6,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,579.46 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Dallas Wings | 57c | 4,900$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.08 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty | 45c | 3,241$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.04 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 2,450$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.49 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Liberty | 45c | 2,201$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.8 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked New York Liberty | 48c | 2,000$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.59 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 1,676$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.92 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 1,606$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.92 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed New York Liberty | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.02 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Dallas Wings | 56c | 1,600$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.83 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New York Liberty | 47c | 1,129$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.52 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed New York Liberty | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.68 | 367 | 54%198 W · 169 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 530$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.4 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Liberty | 48c | 530$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 214 | 47.7%102 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 415.72$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.36 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Dallas Wings | 54c | 335.87$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.87 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed New York Liberty | 48c | 301.88$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Dallas Wings | 55c | 179.71$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +11.1wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed New York Liberty | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…4bb5backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed New York Liberty | 53c | 92.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked New York Liberty | 53c | 69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Dallas Wings | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed New York Liberty | 47c | 55.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed New York Liberty | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x286c…f34ebacked Dallas Wings | 58c | 49.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Liberty | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2093…9703backed New York Liberty | 47c | 41.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed New York Liberty | 47c | 37.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…f36ebacked Dallas Wings | 54c | 35.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc168…c60dbacked New York Liberty | 48c | 34.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked New York Liberty | 52c | 34.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -11.1wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed New York Liberty | 52c | 31.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed New York Liberty | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed New York Liberty | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed New York Liberty | 47c | 27.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 25.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed New York Liberty | 47c | 25.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 332 | 48.8%162 W · 170 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…674abacked New York Liberty | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed New York Liberty | 53c | 23.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed New York Liberty | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)this page
- Dallas Wings vs. New York LibertyDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty: O/U 176.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty: O/U 178.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty: O/U 179.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.