WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6af4f7f2fe1e8bf82906ca2abebac81bf5130bd468938fe006da1ced1bb3b816
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dallas Wingsof New York Liberty, Dallas Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked New York Liberty | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.97 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 5,305$2,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.89 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dallas Wings | 45c | 5,175$2,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,844.4 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Liberty | 49c | 2,327$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.88 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings | 47c | 1,775$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.12 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 1,669$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.75 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 1,538$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.7 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed New York Liberty | 49c | 1,013$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.6 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed New York Liberty | 49c | 1,009$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.44 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed New York Liberty | 49c | 911.54$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.6 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dallas Wings | 50c | 790.57$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.69 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed New York Liberty | 50c | 588.23$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.43 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed New York Liberty | 49c | 571.86$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.21 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Dallas Wings | 45c | 492.09$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.65 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed New York Liberty | 49c | 370.16$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.38 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Dallas Wings | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Dallas Wings | 56c | 321.14$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.1 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed New York Liberty | 49c | 312.5$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.13 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa02e…60d0backed New York Liberty | 50c | 300.69$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked New York Liberty | 49c | 284$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.16 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Dallas Wings | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Dallas Wings | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed New York Liberty | 44c | 182.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.23 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Dallas Wings | 45c | 180$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Dallas Wings | 45c | 180$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked New York Liberty | 49c | 162.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -11.1wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed New York Liberty | 46c | 159.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed New York Liberty | 49c | 116.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 114$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Dallas Wings | 45c | 108$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…674abacked New York Liberty | 47c | 105$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed New York Liberty | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 90.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Dallas Wings | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Dallas Wings | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 44.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 44.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…f3f0backed New York Liberty | 49c | 30.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…5710backed New York Liberty | 49c | 30.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e4…c62abacked New York Liberty | 48c | 25.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…3350backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 23.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed New York Liberty | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)this page
- Dallas Wings vs. New York LibertyDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty: O/U 176.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty: O/U 178.5Under won
- Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty: O/U 179.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.