NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e63b268bf70f74392e27a87862db7222c0db2b525caa43c9d1bf75f3448e60f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $218,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Thunder | 43c | 64,996$27,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,709.15 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 59c | 63,747$37,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,137.73 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Thunder | 41c | 50,000$20,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,499.95 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs | 57c | 25,000$14,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,750 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Spurs | 57c | 14,843$8,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,378.59 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Spurs | 58c | 10,461$6,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,394.25 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28d7…89edbacked Thunder | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100.07 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Thunder | 41c | 9,971$4,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,088.11 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Spurs | 59c | 8,390$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,439.83 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23e…98a4backed Thunder | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Spurs | 59c | 4,267$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.36 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Spurs | 59c | 3,398$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.94 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Spurs | 76c | 2,621$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.52 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…c790backed Thunder | 42c | 2,387$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.73 | 147 | 31.3%46 W · 101 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf6…d7f7backed Spurs | 59c | 2,291$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…e495backed Thunder | 42c | 1,941$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs | 74c | 1,820$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.18 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 10c | 1,703$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.29 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Thunder | 17c | 1,640$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.81 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…7a58backed Thunder | 13c | 1,625$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4e…3d91backed Spurs | 59c | 1,457$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.45 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 58c | 1,403$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.81 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Spurs | 59c | 1,400$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Thunder | 41c | 1,214$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.74 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Spurs | 59c | 1,187$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.61 | 535 | 39.6%212 W · 323 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Spurs | 59c | 1,186$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.44 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…aa86backed Spurs | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 59c | 832.51$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.33 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Thunder | 21c | 821.09$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.43 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Spurs | 58c | 820$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.4 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked Thunder | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc04…1c43backed Spurs | 59c | 681.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.31 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Spurs | 59c | 669.49$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.49 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs | 59c | 539$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.99 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 59c | 534$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.94 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…87b6backed Spurs | 58c | 513.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.89 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…0d9cbacked Spurs | 59c | 504.18$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.71 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Thunder | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 12c | 459.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Spurs | 59c | 457.01$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.38 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Thunder | 42c | 448.88$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.53 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Spurs | 58c | 430$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.6 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Spurs | 59c | 416.95$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.95 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44c…b049backed Thunder | 12c | 401$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcada…f2a3backed Thunder | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc879…30a4backed Thunder | 42c | 373.81$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…848ebacked Spurs | 59c | 354.24$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.24 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Thunder | 12c | 340.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Spurs | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Spurs | 58c | 325.51$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.4 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9f…e1e2backed Thunder | 21c | 285.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Thunder | 40c | 266.27$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.87 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Thunder | 30c | 265$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0706…f25dbacked Spurs | 76c | 261.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Thunder | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed Thunder | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Thunder | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…5a0fbacked Thunder | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Thunder | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1027…0951backed Thunder | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Thunder | 42c | 238.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…39c7backed Thunder | 41c | 235.34$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Thunder | 42c | 197$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Thunder | 11c | 191$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Spurs | 58c | 187.08$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.13 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Thunder | 42c | 180$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x119d…bec3backed Thunder | 42c | 178.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdae6…7d39backed Thunder | 42c | 178.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Thunder | 29c | 170$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…8c53backed Spurs | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…e445backed Spurs | 59c | 166.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs | 58c | 166.16$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed Thunder | 43c | 131.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +95%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Thunder | 9c | 130.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bb…5fbdbacked Thunder | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Spurs | 58c | 120.3$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Thunder | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…1184backed Thunder | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Spurs | 59c | 102$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x310b…19ccbacked Spurs | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…9cf7backed Thunder | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Spurs | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…b626backed Thunder | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 159 | 27%43 W · 116 L | -15.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Spurs | 70c | 98.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…b3ffbacked Thunder | 43c | 97.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9c…4bb6backed Spurs | 59c | 94.64$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Spurs | 58c | 90.62$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Spurs | 58c | 86.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Spurs | 59c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Spurs | 59c | 83.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 173 | 59%102 W · 71 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…667fbacked Thunder | 14c | 74.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed Thunder | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…81f6backed Spurs | 74c | 67.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Thunder | 22c | 67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Thunder | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Thunder | 42c | 60.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Thunder | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…d8f5backed Spurs | 62c | 59.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 92 | 71.7%66 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…646bbacked Thunder | 29c | 59.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6180…7086backed Thunder | 42c | 58.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 44 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Spurs won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. ThunderSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreEven won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.