MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x250cb2bde16107f68481182015c9ca29bb221c0faebfdd2b27423498220e1188
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof New York Yankees, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,414,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,365,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,414,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 402 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 545,806$217,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327,941.77 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…6022backed New York Yankees | 60c | 439,069$263,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263,441.21 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 120,908$49,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,769.85 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7754…9709backed New York Yankees | 46c | 91,106$41,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,969.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked New York Yankees | 60c | 82,550$49,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,530 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…b8f7backed New York Yankees | 56c | 78,999$43,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,899.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 64,254$32,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,968.79 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed New York Yankees | 60c | 55,000$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,000 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed New York Yankees | 60c | 50,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 50,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 59c | 46,110$27,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,416.02 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 37,968$17,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,836.83 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 31,579$16,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,842.11 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Yankees | 61c | 30,000$18,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,210 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 29,400$11,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,422.8 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees | 60c | 26,470$15,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,962.44 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed New York Yankees | 51c | 17,461$8,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,882.99 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 16,559$6,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,301.72 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 24c | 16,251$3,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,874.94 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked New York Yankees | 45c | 14,689$6,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,541.52 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Yankees | 62c | 11,801$7,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316.55 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed New York Yankees | 59c | 9,800$5,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,781.92 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked New York Yankees | 63c | 8,300$5,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,222.92 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked New York Yankees | 62c | 8,022$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed New York Yankees | 60c | 7,264$4,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,358.66 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 6,851$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,903.27 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed New York Yankees | 7c | 6,112$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.47 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed New York Yankees | 33c | 6,073$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.34 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked New York Yankees | 34c | 5,449$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.86 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed New York Yankees | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 4,905$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.65 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 4,905$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.65 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 17c | 4,575$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.12 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed New York Yankees | 62c | 4,500$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,798.98 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 4,055$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.55 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed New York Yankees | 61c | 4,043$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.93 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed New York Yankees | 63c | 4,030$2,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,538.71 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked New York Yankees | 62c | 3,880$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.52 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 3,638$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.1 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed New York Yankees | 61c | 3,364$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,052.15 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed New York Yankees | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked New York Yankees | 1c | 3,217$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Yankees | 32c | 3,035$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.84 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc6…a5bdbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed New York Yankees | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 75c | 2,950$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.89 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf56b…ac88backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 2,878$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +155.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 2,698$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.42 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 2,515$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.37 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 2,300$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.34 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees | 41c | 2,204$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.68 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…449bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 2,120$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.84 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 2,102$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.28 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…8cdcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 1,935$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.49 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed New York Yankees | 43c | 1,700$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed New York Yankees | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed New York Yankees | 52c | 1,500$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…59acbacked New York Yankees | 67c | 1,459$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.53 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 1,362$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.19 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…a73abacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 1,347$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.44 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 1,333$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 1,240$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed New York Yankees | 59c | 1,194$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.55 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked New York Yankees | 60c | 1,167$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…b44cbacked New York Yankees | 3c | 1,149$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…3c33backed New York Yankees | 52c | 1,146$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed New York Yankees | 16c | 1,100$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 1,059$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.5 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 1,040$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.59 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…71a6backed New York Yankees | 21c | 1,030$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 1,017$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.49 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 1,014$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.66 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Baltimore Orioles | 68c | 1,000$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.4 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…af0dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 948.2$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.35 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 928.24$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.9 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 921.21$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.89 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 60c | 905.28$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed New York Yankees | 23c | 900$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed New York Yankees | 2c | 890$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked New York Yankees | 61c | 861$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.21 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed New York Yankees | 60c | 827.87$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed New York Yankees | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed New York Yankees | 11c | 801.67$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.65 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 800$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 756.21$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.75 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 751.89$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.1 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed New York Yankees | 62c | 722.41$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.09 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 689$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.63 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked New York Yankees | 60c | 687.24$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.34 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.