MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x243c1a8891d86a34401abb2cd7381f595db361a2c9a199fe703f5043bc98c221
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $259,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $265,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Under | 54c | 196,220$106,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,644.75 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 45c | 77,584$35,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,238.16 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 46c | 33,103$15,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,245.8 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 46c | 16,646$7,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,657.65 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 57c | 14,299$8,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,190.91 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 42c | 13,817$5,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950.57 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 45c | 6,818$3,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,068.32 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x359c…3272backed Over | 46c | 4,667$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 48c | 3,945$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.46 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 43c | 3,840$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.85 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Over | 46c | 3,717$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.82 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99eb…0464backed Over | 66c | 3,600$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.92 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Over | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf310…76cbbacked Over | 46c | 2,517$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 47c | 2,324$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.85 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 46c | 2,258$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.92 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 45c | 1,929$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.45 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 53c | 1,777$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.19 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 53c | 1,679$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.83 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 1,590$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.72 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 46c | 1,556$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.66 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 45c | 1,384$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.01 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 46c | 1,340$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.8 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 45c | 1,224$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.98 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 1,195$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.55 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7444…451bbacked Over | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Under | 54c | 929.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.5 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 860.09$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.63 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 46c | 785.72$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.43 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 739.5$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.1 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Under | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Over | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 55c | 613.19$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.25 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 605.53$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.59 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 564.66$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.1 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Under | 55c | 517.96$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.08 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 46c | 511.81$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.43 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 45c | 500.48$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.76 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 34c | 450.93$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.15 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 47c | 399.98$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.99 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Under | 54c | 399.96$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.98 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 58c | 386$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.98 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 41c | 359.2$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.46 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 69c | 347.96$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.53 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 46c | 333$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.18 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed Over | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 45c | 319$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.55 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 46c | 308.5$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.91 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 46c | 300$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over | 55c | 290.91$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…1461backed Under | 20c | 267.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.86 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Under | 55c | 254.55$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e48…f025backed Over | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 45c | 247$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.02 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Under | 51c | 240.76$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.97 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 66c | 228.27$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.63 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…4f6bbacked Over | 70c | 212.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Over | 45c | 210$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…7237backed Over | 23c | 208.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed Over | 55c | 179.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Over | 46c | 170$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 46c | 148.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 53c | 139.45$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Over | 55c | 135$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd25a…7f71backed Under | 43c | 130$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +11.4wins | +0.26per pick | 42cpaid | +92%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed Over | 48c | 126.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…5a4fbacked Over | 47c | 122.37$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 47c | 106$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Over | 46c | 100.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Over | 46c | 100.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…2371backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Over | 46c | 95.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 53c | 89.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 85.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 53c | 85.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7e…f568backed Over | 46c | 83.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 59c | 83.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 45c | 57.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4280…cb8cbacked Over | 46c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Over | 49c | 53.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 401 | 48.1%193 W · 208 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…0be3backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…bdc1backed Over | 46c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore OriolesBaltimore Orioles won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.