MLB · resolved market

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44faad8ffc697cc4d41e43fc4e3fba64622cfcfaf45db4af8884bcbd1cc6dfa2

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Baltimore Oriolesof New York Yankees, Baltimore Orioles
Resolved: May 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $56,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $56,852

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,157 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked New York Yankees	44c	16,952$7,452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,452.37	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Baltimore Orioles	49c	14,966$7,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,640.87	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked New York Yankees	52c	10,446$5,432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,431.87	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees	52c	6,173$3,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,211.73	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles	48c	5,540$2,671 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,869.29	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked New York Yankees	51c	5,539$2,805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,805.29	172	48.8%84 W · 88 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked New York Yankees	51c	3,566$1,819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,818.76	501	53.5%268 W · 233 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees	56c	3,543$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,999.87	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked New York Yankees	48c	2,789$1,339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,338.78	143	40.6%58 W · 85 L	-6.6wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	2,211$1,070 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,140.77	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked New York Yankees	53c	1,700$901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$901	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed New York Yankees	53c	1,415$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	93	54.8%51 W · 42 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked New York Yankees	51c	1,383$706 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$705.58	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed New York Yankees	54c	1,311$714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$713.84	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed New York Yankees	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	707	44.7%316 W · 391 L	-22.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	927.44$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$478.3	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked New York Yankees	52c	860$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…e4a2backed Baltimore Orioles	49c	816.33$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416.33	74	50%37 W · 37 L	+5.4wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed New York Yankees	49c	800$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392	866	53%459 W · 407 L	+16.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Baltimore Orioles	47c	761.43$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$403.56	550	52.4%288 W · 262 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa04e…376abacked New York Yankees	52c	731.15$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.2	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ae…7aa6backed New York Yankees	53c	566.04$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	70	48.6%34 W · 36 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles	47c	540.03$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.8	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Baltimore Orioles	48c	416.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.67	138	51.4%71 W · 67 L	+6.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked New York Yankees	52c	357.79$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.05	1,205	58.8%708 W · 497 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Baltimore Orioles	50c	355.4$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.51	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	312$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.42	997	44.1%440 W · 557 L	-38.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f41…b387backed New York Yankees	52c	300$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x782c…2445backed New York Yankees	51c	275.69$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	39	59%23 W · 16 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Baltimore Orioles	51c	275.02$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.76	63	46%29 W · 34 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles	10c	271.56$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed Baltimore Orioles	49c	259.85$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.72	177	49.7%88 W · 89 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd25a…7f71backed Baltimore Orioles	12c	254.42$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.73	44	68.2%30 W · 14 L	+11.4wins	+0.26per pick	42cpaid	+92%equal weight	68+0.17 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed New York Yankees	52c	246.79$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.33	288	50.3%145 W · 143 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Baltimore Orioles	50c	219.3$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.65	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Baltimore Orioles	50c	219.3$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.65	1,106	48.7%539 W · 567 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Baltimore Orioles	48c	213$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.76	114	56.1%64 W · 50 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Baltimore Orioles	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	119	48.7%58 W · 61 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Baltimore Orioles	32c	182.81$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.31	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles	9c	178.59$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.52	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Baltimore Orioles	52c	144.23$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.23	163	53.4%87 W · 76 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Baltimore Orioles	49c	142.86$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.86	443	48.5%215 W · 228 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Baltimore Orioles	53c	140.09$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.84	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Baltimore Orioles	29c	132.99$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.31	1,843	43.6%804 W · 1,039 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x938e…9b66backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	125$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	481	50.7%244 W · 237 L	-19.3wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Baltimore Orioles	49c	122.45$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.45	478	49%234 W · 244 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb21…3138backed Baltimore Orioles	51c	111$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.48	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	108$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.16	721	54.2%391 W · 330 L	+20.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+144.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	486	51%248 W · 238 L	-18.0wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7fb…5623backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	102.25$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.17	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Baltimore Orioles	49c	101.92$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked New York Yankees	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	577	47.7%275 W · 302 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	689	42.2%291 W · 398 L	+18.7wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Baltimore Orioles	49c	99.99$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	373	57.4%214 W · 159 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Baltimore Orioles	49c	99.98$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.99	131	44.3%58 W · 73 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed New York Yankees	57c	97.48$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.08	252	49.6%125 W · 127 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeded…bfe9backed Baltimore Orioles	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74e0…d590backed Baltimore Orioles	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.9wins	+0.37per pick	51cpaid	+78.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x94a4…6f8fbacked New York Yankees	53c	92.89$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.23	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked New York Yankees	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	149	46.3%69 W · 80 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Baltimore Orioles	48c	78.26$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.7	192	48.4%93 W · 99 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe16…60bebacked Baltimore Orioles	34c	73.53$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.53	97	61.9%60 W · 37 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Baltimore Orioles	38c	65.52$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.47	841	22.7%191 W · 650 L	-81.4wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xda09…16debacked Baltimore Orioles	48c	62.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Baltimore Orioles	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	412	49.5%204 W · 208 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Baltimore Orioles	51c	57.35$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.39	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x961a…e91cbacked New York Yankees	53c	56.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	69	56.5%39 W · 30 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x15db…1da8backed New York Yankees	57c	52.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x648d…0ebdbacked Baltimore Orioles	48c	52.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.08	128	64.1%82 W · 46 L	+11.8wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+18%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbc78…f1f5backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	52.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.08	263	51.3%135 W · 128 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa804…bdc1backed New York Yankees	49c	51$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	84	46.4%39 W · 45 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed New York Yankees	53c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	1,661	43.5%722 W · 939 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Baltimore Orioles	49c	49.99$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.49	130	46.9%61 W · 69 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Baltimore Orioles	49c	49.99$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.49	120	49.2%59 W · 61 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Baltimore Orioles	50c	49.97$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.11	1,001	48.3%483 W · 518 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Baltimore Orioles	45c	49.87$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.43	185	47.6%88 W · 97 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75b5…a1f2backed New York Yankees	53c	47$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.91	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33fc…dc88backed New York Yankees	52c	44.57$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.39	224	57.1%128 W · 96 L	+9.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked New York Yankees	48c	41.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,197	53.9%645 W · 552 L	+42.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked New York Yankees	49c	40.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	994	47.3%470 W · 524 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed New York Yankees	59c	40$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.6	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f50…069bbacked Baltimore Orioles	41c	40$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.6	163	45.4%74 W · 89 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed New York Yankees	51c	39.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.27	2,945	47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x623a…5144backed New York Yankees	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-7.2wins	-0.17per pick	53cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbee3…e44ebacked New York Yankees	48c	39$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.72	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Baltimore Orioles	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	625	54.2%339 W · 286 L	+18.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6600…d5fdbacked New York Yankees	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	81	45.7%37 W · 44 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0943…1d8dbacked Baltimore Orioles	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	58cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed New York Yankees	51c	35.24$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.97	300	48%144 W · 156 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked New York Yankees	58c	34.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	546	51.3%280 W · 266 L	+29.8wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8826…a723backed Baltimore Orioles	42c	34.48$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+53.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Baltimore Orioles	49c	30.61$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.61	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-3.9wins	-0.18per pick	59cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6aee…2567backed New York Yankees	49c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed New York Yankees	51c	26.67$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	383	52.2%200 W · 183 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e24…b31fbacked Baltimore Orioles	48c	26.4$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.73	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0520…a936backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	26.31$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.68	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6594…6593backed New York Yankees	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-6.6wins	-0.47per pick	54cpaid	-87.2%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed New York Yankees	71c	14.92$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.59	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore OriolesBaltimore Orioles won
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Under won
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event