TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbee3…e44e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$53.04
Kraken vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$35.61
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.01
Maple Leafs vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.62
Utah vs. Canucksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$29.54
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.88
Red Wings vs. Rangersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Ducks vs. Sharksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.36
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.62
Maple Leafs vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.93
Canucks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$28.51
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.74
Stars vs. Flyersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.57
Blackhawks vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.63
Predators vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$34.63
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.06
Canucks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.51
Utah vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.81
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.03
Kraken vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$25.23
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$15.11
Blue Jackets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$33.2
Sharks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$23.02
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$38.41
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.56
Hawks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$34.89
Suns vs. Pistonsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$125.71
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+81.8%+$11.7
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$15.12
All 6 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.31
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$25.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$23.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.