TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Utah vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Utahof Utah, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$538,267
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$545,890

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $538,267 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 371 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5bec…b215backed Utah50c205,872$102,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102,936.2416442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Utah49c49,999$24,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,499.6667051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Kings50c36,598$18,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,29951550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Utah50c30,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,00014650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Kings50c28,349$14,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,174.548549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings50c24,350$12,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,174.911,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kings50c20,823$10,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,411.5645751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Utah50c18,013$9,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,006.581,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Kings50c15,000$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5001662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings51c14,597$7,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,444.861,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings51c12,553$6,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,345.6361950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Kings50c10,703$5,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,351.6314553.1%77 W · 68 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Kings50c10,001$5,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000.561953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Kings50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00012950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Utah50c9,275$4,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,637.3556649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Kings50c9,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50011553%61 W · 54 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Kings48c8,997$4,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,291.627448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Utah50c8,142$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,07185250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Kings5c6,666$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.174912.2%6 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Kings50c6,304$3,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,15218641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Kings50c6,060$3,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0303850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Kings51c5,500$2,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80550049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x194f…2005backed Kings50c5,025$2,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,512.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Kings1c4,932$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2218520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings50c4,350$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,17579350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Kings8c4,137$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.5333234.3%114 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Kings50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005541.8%23 W · 32 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Kings50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00030552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Kings50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008544.7%38 W · 47 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings50c3,500$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7501,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Utah50c3,491$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.3427850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Kings33c3,456$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.4875251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Kings50c3,350$1,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.541,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Utah50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50027547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Kings50c2,680$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.814954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed Kings17c2,676$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46628447.9%136 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff72…6146backed Kings1c2,572$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.421323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick10cpaid+39.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Kings51c2,570$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.744551.2%228 W · 217 L+16.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Kings1c2,519$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.322504.8%12 W · 238 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings14c2,503$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.4889636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Kings50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25031848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Kings4c2,466$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2989355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Utah49c2,294$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.0212152.1%63 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x607d…53a1backed Kings50c2,161$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.413446.3%62 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…a992backed Kings40c2,005$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80012328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Kings50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Kings50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020450%102 W · 102 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Kings51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Utah54c1,865$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.8530365.7%199 W · 104 L+22.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kings19c1,685$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.142,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Kings50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80061959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kings50c1,600$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80660337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Kings16c1,551$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.151,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Kings29c1,504$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.6113343.6%58 W · 75 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings16c1,290$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.252,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Kings52c1,283$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.58350.6%42 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Kings51c1,227$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.8712653.2%67 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Utah50c1,200$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.1676950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Kings50c1,200$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.6886549.1%425 W · 440 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Kings29c1,190$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.8618344.8%82 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Utah65c1,182$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.6832653.1%173 W · 153 L+18.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kings34c1,089$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.981,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Kings26c1,071$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.9413348.1%64 W · 69 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad41…b1c0backed Kings31c1,036$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.161040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Kings50c1,030$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.254047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Utah50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50022352.9%118 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Utah50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50029551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Kings51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Utah74c860.02$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.3357157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Utah51c836.67$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.9733450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Utah67c818.75$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.191,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30d9…41c7backed Kings51c812.39$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.322458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea0c…434bbacked Kings51c812.33$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.291361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb4e…c3c3backed Utah50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40021534.4%74 W · 141 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa7…db93backed Utah72c795.35$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.343063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Kings51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Kings50c782.19$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.11,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Utah50c764$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.3486852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb546…400dbacked Kings51c719.29$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.844353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Kings50c715.74$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.8745955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd892…515cbacked Utah69c703$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.931172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+56.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Utah50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35032648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46e5…79f3backed Kings16c660$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.843234.4%11 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Kings51c658.43$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.828549.1%140 W · 145 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Kings24c634.25$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.251,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Utah50c631.2$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.919659.4%57 W · 39 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Kings51c615.69$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3145957.6%34 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Utah49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2411045.5%50 W · 60 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Kings51c607.84$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31031848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Utah50c600$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30310145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Kings47c582.57$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.8814650%73 W · 73 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Kings35c564.71$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.333652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Kings35c564.55$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2837754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings21c552.09$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.963,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee0e…b5cbbacked Kings42c551.71$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2334641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Kings35c532.96$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.9916253.7%87 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Kings50c514$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25733950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Kings18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9016753.3%89 W · 78 L+13.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Utah50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25013445.5%61 W · 73 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Kings51c499.96$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.987851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.