NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Kings: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ecf173a8a456dc63a4842135eacb9acf599e42b6f1fb1ab228708de0ac94b8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $249,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $253,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 50c | 222,124$111,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,026.71 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 50c | 200,000$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,000 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 50c | 18,888$9,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,444 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 54c | 10,154$5,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,702.38 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 46c | 5,015$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.09 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 2,271$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.83 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Under | 1c | 2,016$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 1,637$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.69 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 47c | 1,618$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.48 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Under | 48c | 1,555$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.4 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Under | 47c | 1,440$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.8 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 48c | 1,255$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.4 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…abdfbacked Over | 52c | 1,251$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.57 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 37c | 1,192$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.67 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 55c | 897.34$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.47 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 715.01$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.85 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Over | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.38 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 40c | 626$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.4 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 50c | 345.29$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.4 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 51c | 342.71$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.03 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 336.82$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.79 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 327.12$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.56 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 57c | 266.98$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.86 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 48c | 228.57$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.71 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4875…bc7bbacked Under | 48c | 213$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ef…1d0fbacked Over | 52c | 211.51$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067b…44cdbacked Under | 47c | 195$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca8…9c33backed Under | 48c | 192$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e84…3130backed Over | 53c | 191.07$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff3e…22b5backed Over | 53c | 183.93$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…9fa9backed Over | 52c | 183.49$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…e856backed Under | 47c | 170$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…e6bbbacked Under | 15c | 165.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 53c | 150.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1584…1020backed Under | 49c | 121.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Under | 50c | 97.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 45c | 80.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Over | 50c | 77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 55c | 72.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 53c | 58.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda0…c1cdbacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 46c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -13.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 52c | 30.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 208 | 55.8%116 W · 92 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6da7…762abacked Under | 51c | 26.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d81…360ebacked Over | 53c | 24.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6ba6backed Over | 53c | 22.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Kings: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Utah won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Utah won
- Utah vs. KingsUtah won
- Utah vs. Kings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Utah vs. Kings: O/U 6.5Over won
- Utah vs. Kings: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.