Fifa International · resolved market
Japan leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee0cafcb75a09ae7dd4cec382f6e71aacdada14f8e982ec5ddcdd19676b12d8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 44,808$32,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,858.18 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 28c | 19,067$5,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,331.2 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 10,638$3,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,568.41 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Yes | 40c | 10,570$4,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,228.06 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked Yes | 25c | 10,155$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 67c | 8,000$5,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 66c | 6,801$4,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.81 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 35c | 6,414$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.4 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 34c | 5,214$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.8 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 64c | 4,223$2,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.5 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…316abacked Yes | 32c | 3,395$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…1579backed Yes | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 154 | 40.3%62 W · 92 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 27c | 2,824$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.92 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 68c | 2,686$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.01 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Yes | 23c | 2,558$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.64 | 278 | 45.7%127 W · 151 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…c5cebacked Yes | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 224 | 37.1%83 W · 141 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 66c | 1,706$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.09 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ac…f764backed Yes | 23c | 1,703$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 65c | 1,504$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.44 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 66c | 1,400$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.97 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 28c | 1,322$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.16 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 66c | 1,200$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 64c | 1,093$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.39 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 64c | 1,063$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.38 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 28c | 1,036$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 66c | 1,020$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.68 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac11…9d3abacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 66c | 935.18$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.61 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc41…6b74backed Yes | 20c | 934.78$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 31c | 810.96$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 67c | 800$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 16c | 796.95$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.51 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 69c | 793.21$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.45 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 6c | 676.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 634.87$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.93 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Yes | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…fd07backed Yes | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2668…9555backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 60c | 499.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Yes | 39c | 492.31$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 193 | 17.1%33 W · 160 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Yes | 33c | 450$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 66c | 428.08$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.55 | 374 | 52.1%195 W · 179 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 66c | 418.81$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.21 | 353 | 52.7%186 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 354 | 51.4%182 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 63c | 396$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes | 34c | 394.62$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.17 | 237 | 29.5%70 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No | 61c | 378$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.42 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 63c | 377.4$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.7 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 36c | 370$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.1 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a0…829fbacked Yes | 26c | 364.54$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.78 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 63c | 361.45$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.71 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 67c | 335.91$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.21 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…32afbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 26.8%34 W · 93 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 66c | 312$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 66c | 303.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…6d0fbacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…dacabacked Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 193 | 24.9%48 W · 145 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 228 | 46.9%107 W · 121 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…f338backed Yes | 34c | 264.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa36e…1c3dbacked Yes | 40c | 246.48$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed No | 64c | 243.52$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.67 | 242 | 42.6%103 W · 139 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63cf…94ddbacked Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 336 | 53.3%179 W · 157 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 343 | 51.9%178 W · 165 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 65c | 199.14$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 68c | 190.71$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 37c | 187.24$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 14c | 176$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 83 | 18.1%15 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…56b7backed Yes | 10c | 164.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 34c | 161$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…42c0backed Yes | 32c | 160$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48bb…1d9ebacked Yes | 40c | 160$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc0…a921backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Yes | 34c | 136.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…df9abacked Yes | 37c | 132.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…22f7backed Yes | 19c | 124.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 208 | 14.4%30 W · 178 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed No | 69c | 111.65$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 76c | 111.57$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4105…9d06backed Yes | 28c | 107.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca77…d7a8backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 238 | 38.7%92 W · 146 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 60c | 99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…d385backed Yes | 20c | 97.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 73c | 94.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b89…87babacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…755bbacked Yes | 19c | 89.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 67c | 88.68$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1859…f776backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Japan leading at halftime?this page
- Japan vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime?Yes won
- Sweden leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.