TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Japan leading at halftime?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$150,191
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$149,012

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,191 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No74c44,808$32,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,858.184,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes28c19,067$5,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,331.22,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes34c10,638$3,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,568.418,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Yes40c10,570$4,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,228.067020%14 W · 56 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Yes25c10,155$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50013639%53 W · 83 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No67c8,000$5,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,68036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No66c6,801$4,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,315.811,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes35c6,414$2,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,253.42,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes34c5,214$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.81,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No64c4,223$2,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.52,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x484a…316abacked Yes32c3,395$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1006636.4%24 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf536…1579backed Yes34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02015440.3%62 W · 92 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes27c2,824$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.9262633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No68c2,686$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.014,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Yes23c2,558$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.6427845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Yes39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78022437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No66c1,706$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.0937850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ac…f764backed Yes23c1,703$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No65c1,504$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.4438351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No66c1,400$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.9726454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes28c1,322$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.1632656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No66c1,200$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40835251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No64c1,093$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.391,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No64c1,063$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.381,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Yes28c1,036$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29010743%46 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No66c1,020$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.6838451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac11…9d3abacked Yes22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205558.2%32 W · 23 L+7.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+29.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Yes33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No66c935.18$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.6139050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc41…6b74backed Yes20c934.78$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902313%3 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-43%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes31c810.96$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25526438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No67c800$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26840848.8%199 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes16c796.95$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5111247.3%53 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No69c793.21$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.452,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Yes6c676.13$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4153629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No80c634.87$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.933,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Yes2c625$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1046012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c67…a0e0backed Yes27c555.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016537.6%62 W · 103 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa8f…fd07backed Yes28c535.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504833.3%16 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2668…9555backed Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308924.7%22 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056240.6%228 W · 334 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed No60c499.99$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Yes39c492.31$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19219317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Yes33c450$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.545038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No66c428.08$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5537452.1%195 W · 179 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No66c418.81$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.2135352.7%186 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13635451.4%182 W · 172 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13635251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13639951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13637051.4%190 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No63c396$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.522,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes34c394.62$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.1723729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No61c378$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.4215246.7%71 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No63c377.4$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.73,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x312a…66b8backed Yes36c370$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.15728.1%16 W · 41 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40a0…829fbacked Yes26c364.54$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.784443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No63c361.45$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.713,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No67c335.91$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.2137753.8%203 W · 174 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddbb…32afbacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012726.8%34 W · 93 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No66c312$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0834851.7%180 W · 168 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No66c303.02$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0346550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85bc…6d0fbacked Yes9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272814.3%4 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-59.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1db2…dacabacked Yes32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9619324.9%48 W · 145 L+0.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022846.9%107 W · 121 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6082…3323backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017945.3%81 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb126…f338backed Yes34c264.71$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908630.2%26 W · 60 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa36e…1c3dbacked Yes40c246.48$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed No64c243.52$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.6724242.6%103 W · 139 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63cf…94ddbacked Yes12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510442.3%44 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes17c200$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3369826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6833653.3%179 W · 157 L+0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6834351.9%178 W · 165 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No65c199.14$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.11,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No68c190.71$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0367447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes37c187.24$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4287938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes14c176$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.988318.1%15 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb410…56b7backed Yes10c164.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4112733.1%42 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes34c161$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.22,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf74a…42c0backed Yes32c160$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.23345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48bb…1d9ebacked Yes40c160$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509832.7%32 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fc0…a921backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016542.4%70 W · 95 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7a…3ce8backed Yes34c136.15$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2912554.4%68 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x323b…df9abacked Yes37c132.43$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497919%15 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x056a…22f7backed Yes19c124.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420814.4%30 W · 178 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No66c120$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.817557.1%100 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed No69c111.65$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.616159%36 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No76c111.57$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7870750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4105…9d06backed Yes28c107.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca77…d7a8backed Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2823838.7%92 W · 146 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4027434.3%94 W · 180 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No60c99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.61,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fdd…d385backed Yes20c97.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9621349.8%106 W · 107 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No73c94.72$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.221,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b89…87babacked Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010342.7%44 W · 59 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e69…755bbacked Yes19c89.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1716019.4%31 W · 129 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed No67c88.68$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.691,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1859…f776backed Yes34c88.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.