Fifa International · resolved market
Japan vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc158870e63e1b676626b921e2108f65b0d6888ebcf21b97388ec2d5ddff1997f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 34,091$11,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,958.07 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 74c | 18,570$13,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,885.86 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 15,370$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.22 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 65c | 8,247$5,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.71 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 43c | 6,977$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,976.74 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 42c | 6,358$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,664.22 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 57c | 5,783$3,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300.52 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 76c | 5,449$4,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.95 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked Yes | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.9 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 37c | 2,136$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.15 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 5c | 2,132$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.26 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…316abacked Yes | 44c | 2,045$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.45 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…421bbacked Yes | 44c | 1,677$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.27 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Yes | 43c | 1,553$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.02 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +9.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeeb…87b6backed Yes | 66c | 1,171$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.02 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 211 | 66.4%140 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 57c | 999.97$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.98 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 56c | 909.65$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.4 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 58c | 843.42$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.94 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 842.46$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.29 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Yes | 44c | 688.34$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.74 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed No | 24c | 645.83$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed No | 58c | 599.98$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.99 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…9565backed Yes | 44c | 487.45$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.97 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 59c | 437.66$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.44 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 58c | 437.54$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.66 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 57c | 437.12$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.16 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 21c | 432.89$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.67 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 45c | 426.35$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 73c | 321.14$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.31 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9063…da18backed No | 50c | 303.36$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.67 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 7c | 248.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…32afbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 127 | 26.8%34 W · 93 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 42c | 234$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.79 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…d10abacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Yes | 48c | 228.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.79 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…edf7backed Yes | 62c | 195.09$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.11 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 19c | 185$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 30c | 178.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…ee54backed No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 54c | 162.96$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 53c | 142.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…927cbacked Yes | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked Yes | 44c | 125$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 242 | 33.5%81 W · 161 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…22ebbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 58c | 117$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x390a…67e8backed Yes | 63c | 110.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 22c | 105$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 46c | 103.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4a…102cbacked Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd00f…1ba0backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…d755backed No | 18c | 99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851f…642fbacked No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d0…0736backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 315 | 43.5%137 W · 178 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 42c | 90$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…9762backed No | 18c | 89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x384f…58adbacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 46c | 87.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Yes | 62c | 78.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…1992backed Yes | 44c | 77.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 45c | 75.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…8041backed Yes | 77c | 70.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1859…f776backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…95a9backed Yes | 42c | 69.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe382…f187backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 78c | 63.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed No | 57c | 63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 233 | 43.3%101 W · 132 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 38c | 60.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 57c | 54.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…643abacked Yes | 43c | 50.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34e3…cdecbacked Yes | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d0…5009backed No | 59c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 43c | 42.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…bcf7backed No | 60c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 369 | 53.9%199 W · 170 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 57c | 39.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7e…f568backed No | 57c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…06a5backed Yes | 66c | 37.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc0…d528backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…6b9abacked No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd16b…36c0backed Yes | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7a…4bf5backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5522…7695backed No | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d63…0687backed No | 58c | 21.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c7…147abacked No | 59c | 21.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 147 | 46.3%68 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…22b9backed No | 59c | 21.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 166 | 63.9%106 W · 60 L | +20.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…dce7backed No | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Japan vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime?this page
- Japan leading at halftime?No won
- Sweden leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.