TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9063…da18

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Dota2, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 51 out of 100; worst MLB at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT2955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Japan vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.67
Japan leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$5.09
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$26.51
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$67.21
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$149.63
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$68.67
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.82
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+35%+$208.06
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$27.77
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.57
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.63
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$39.91
Korea Republic leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.69
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.63
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)backed Korea Republic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.87
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.57
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$42.18
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$403.92
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.28
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,588Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$1,183.45
Morocco vs. Haiti: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.18
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$51.08
Exact Score: Morocco 3 - 2 Haiti?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$637Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$636.82
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$73.11
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Haiti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.88
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.03
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+36%+$33.77
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$510.15
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$108.19
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 9INE (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+78%+$30.89
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Bbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+84%+$67.27
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs OG (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Bbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.24
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.57
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$10.59
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.86
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.39per pick52cpaid-80.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-39.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.