MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36e5cbd61aa5104a9dd756c103a834f09403669797aca2ceb6f44ab29aadb260
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $464,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $475,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $464,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 31,099$15,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,785.45 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 29,031$15,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,149.54 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 41c | 23,895$9,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,982.78 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…4b55backed Houston Astros | 47c | 21,277$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,276.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 44c | 17,483$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,706.48 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 11,322$6,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,453.54 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 68c | 10,780$7,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,502.99 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 10,733$6,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,197.82 | 490 | 51%250 W · 240 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 9,707$5,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,032.04 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 8,201$4,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,254.78 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 7,153$2,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,892.76 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Houston Astros | 60c | 6,654$4,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.06 | 320 | 58.4%187 W · 133 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 38c | 6,029$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,734.28 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Houston Astros | 46c | 5,354$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,912.48 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 5,005$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,778.05 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Houston Astros | 44c | 4,977$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,787.3 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 4,158$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,326.78 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Houston Astros | 47c | 4,157$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.4 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Houston Astros | 47c | 4,055$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.42 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 3,860$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.68 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 3,447$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.83 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 43c | 3,420$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.55 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 3,337$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.83 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Houston Astros | 42c | 3,287$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.46 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Houston Astros | 43c | 2,985$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,701.7 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Houston Astros | 44c | 2,955$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.55 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Houston Astros | 42c | 2,725$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.02 | 247 | 39.3%97 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 43c | 2,447$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.51 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 2,231$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.82 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Houston Astros | 41c | 2,040$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.02 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 1,953$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.45 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Houston Astros | 38c | 1,814$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.39 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Houston Astros | 41c | 1,797$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068 | 795 | 55.6%442 W · 353 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Houston Astros | 42c | 1,786$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.71 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 1,758$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.99 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 1,700$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.86 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 1,598$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.97 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…0690backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,297$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.46 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Houston Astros | 38c | 1,288$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.4 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Houston Astros | 38c | 1,287$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.1 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 1,192$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.21 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Houston Astros | 38c | 1,163$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.93 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Houston Astros | 42c | 1,111$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.38 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Houston Astros | 51c | 1,106$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.15 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Houston Astros | 43c | 1,049$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.15 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 969$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.09 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Houston Astros | 53c | 962.81$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.84 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 852.95$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.18 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 799.99$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 752.17$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.74 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 716$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.79 | 955 | 55.2%527 W · 428 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 675$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.15 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Houston Astros | 42c | 669.64$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.39 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 48c | 657.75$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.39 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce60…f989backed Houston Astros | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Toronto Blue Jays | 18c | 623$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.61 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9063…da18backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 616.84$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.39per pick | 52cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6a…e09bbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 608.05$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.51 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Houston Astros | 38c | 560.71$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.64 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e81…e973backed Houston Astros | 66c | 560.59$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 551$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.58 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 550$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 524$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.68 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 506.59$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.82 | 323 | 51.7%167 W · 156 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 500$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Houston Astros | 43c | 499.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.81 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Houston Astros | 44c | 487.59$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.05 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 473.03$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.3 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 19c | 451$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.26 | 303 | 40.6%123 W · 180 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 407.88$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.94 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Houston Astros | 43c | 381.44$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.42 | 520 | 45.2%235 W · 285 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 43c | 360$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…6fcbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 8c | 352.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 330.77$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.51 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Houston Astros | 62c | 304$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 592 | 52.7%312 W · 280 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Houston Astros | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…76c7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 293.47$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 19c | 286.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec11…953fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 271.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 261.3$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.81 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 261$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.77 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…8c4dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 258.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 247.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 1,022 | 50.6%517 W · 505 L | +54.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7668…bc8fbacked Houston Astros | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Houston Astros | 40c | 241.18$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.7 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed Houston Astros | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Houston Astros | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 221.97$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.