MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd07791beebe3ba0ae54b1be59d36336061c71441cb85d8ded0350b85b80e44aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Texas Rangers, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $506,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $544,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $506,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 338 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 100,506$49,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,258.17 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 62,510$30,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,606.9 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 43,777$23,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,438.72 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 40,816$21,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,144.6 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Texas Rangers | 40c | 36,093$14,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,291.05 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…c909backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 20,426$10,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,264.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 20,400$10,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,435.96 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 16,202$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,425.08 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 14,803$7,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,549.77 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 12,905$6,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,585.76 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 62c | 12,442$7,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,746.41 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Texas Rangers | 37c | 10,653$3,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,994.04 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 10,416$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.32 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 10,015$5,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,245.5 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 10,001$5,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,708.89 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 60c | 9,462$5,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,739.37 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 61c | 8,459$5,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,311.11 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x132f…453bbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 7,444$3,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,813.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Texas Rangers | 26c | 7,000$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 6,441$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,141.93 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 6,373$3,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,168.08 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 5,629$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.7 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 5,503$2,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,872.31 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 5,500$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904.98 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 5,331$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.02 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 5,102$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,653.06 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.95 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 4,151$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 4,082$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.63 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Texas Rangers | 33c | 4,008$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.14 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc7…389dbacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 4,000$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.71 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 3,573$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.74 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 3,425$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.92 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 3,251$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.26 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 3,061$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.83 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 2,907$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.57 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 2,583$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.76 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 2,371$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.2 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 2,332$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.44 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 2,048$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.52 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…36f4backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 1,997$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 1,877$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.87 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,829$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.72 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 1,570$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.59 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…3bb2backed Miami Marlins | 38c | 1,547$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.09 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins | 65c | 1,440$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.67 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Miami Marlins | 69c | 1,303$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.99 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.99 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,154$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.99 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Texas Rangers | 13c | 1,111$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.43 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,076$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.51 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.31 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,001$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.27 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 900$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 876.9$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.44 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 770$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 758.6$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.66 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 733.54$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.4 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 709.95$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.77 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed Texas Rangers | 28c | 701.65$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.07 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Texas Rangers | 4c | 692.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Texas Rangers | 25c | 690.15$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.54 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 688.58$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.32 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Texas Rangers | 40c | 684.07$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.57 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Miami Marlins | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Texas Rangers | 43c | 623.6$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.1 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 601.17$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.62 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…26eabacked Texas Rangers | 50c | 590.41$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.99 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Texas Rangers | 44c | 549.05$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.04 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 542$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.26 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa9…7633backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Miami Marlins | 66c | 519.41$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.52 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 510$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.1 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 506.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 488.75$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.21 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Miami Marlins | 58c | 473.6$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.15 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 463$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.76 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 435.01$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.66 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…59ffbacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 375$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 370$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.9 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Texas Rangers | 14c | 364.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb89…c7ebbacked Miami Marlins | 80c | 363.7$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.66 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Miami Marlins | 78c | 323.08$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 228 | 67.1%153 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 320.75$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.75 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.2wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 320$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.2 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.