MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0de6731c61f3619a3718d306bf83d6476592998bb3dbcdac410fb284aef357c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $238,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 49c | 178,382$87,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,364.18 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 51c | 83,364$42,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,795.01 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 47,503$24,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,239.1 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 57c | 35,261$20,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,014.03 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 37c | 22,997$8,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,538.28 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 51c | 11,315$5,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,552.11 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 3,570$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.83 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 3,166$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.34 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 51c | 2,834$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.81 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 2,202$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.03 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 2,186$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.9 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 35c | 1,991$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.78 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 49c | 1,971$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 49c | 1,803$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.55 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.17 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 51c | 1,619$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.31 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 1,091$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.28 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…ffcabacked Over | 49c | 954.6$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.16 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 51c | 862$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.83 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 51c | 796.34$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 47c | 766.99$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.87 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 51c | 715.91$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.8 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 29c | 561.4$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.53 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 51c | 491.63$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.9 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 51c | 477.3$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.88 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 412.66$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.51 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 77c | 327.1$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 35c | 322.71$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.95 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 49c | 270$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 51c | 258.34$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.59 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8904…5a63backed Under | 70c | 254.29$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 72c | 244.02$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 52c | 240.19$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 35c | 221.26$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.37 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed Over | 32c | 190.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fb…1c4abacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Over | 31c | 165.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 27c | 164$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 68c | 159.54$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 35c | 151.49$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Under | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 160 | 57.5%92 W · 68 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5f…90f8backed Under | 71c | 149.98$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 129$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 35c | 117.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 35c | 117.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 31c | 104.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 51c | 100.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 39c | 93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 86.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 47c | 86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 73c | 82.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Over | 49c | 80.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 51c | 79.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Over | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 286 | 39.2%112 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 53c | 73.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 50c | 71.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 70c | 71.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Under | 58c | 68.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 72c | 63.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 28c | 56.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x250f…4fc6backed Over | 22c | 52.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -17.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…f37cbacked Under | 73c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 72c | 43.07$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 51c | 36.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 50c | 36.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 51c | 34.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74df…2b11backed Under | 51c | 29.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…8beebacked Under | 67c | 29.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 49c | 28.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 70c | 28.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed Under | 71c | 22.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 390 | 53.6%209 W · 181 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 52c | 19.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Texas Rangers vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.