MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45cf145161418406c8671e309aeadbc82e9a51ac95be82bf5f1cf93123ef5c97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Chicago Cubs, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $527,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $558,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $527,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc365…2e53backed New York Mets | 52c | 46,433$23,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,925.42 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 40,761$22,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,694.95 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets | 41c | 38,673$15,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,699.96 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 37,176$19,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,795.19 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…c909backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 21,524$10,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,907.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…4b55backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 20,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,499.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 51c | 15,330$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 15,320$7,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,353.4 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed New York Mets | 30c | 14,309$4,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,313 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets | 47c | 12,712$6,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,017.6 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 8,407$4,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,695.87 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed New York Mets | 25c | 8,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked New York Mets | 19c | 6,809$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 6,267$3,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,111.59 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 6,044$3,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.69 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Chicago Cubs | 68c | 5,789$3,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.71 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 4,257$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.92 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Mets | 48c | 4,256$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.59 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 4,200$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058 | 27 | 92.6%25 W · 2 L | +9.8wins | +0.36per pick | 56cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 3,985$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.13 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Mets | 47c | 3,824$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.79 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 3,453$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.2 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 3,250$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.1 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Mets | 34c | 2,557$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.74 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed New York Mets | 37c | 2,385$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7f…a160backed New York Mets | 51c | 2,333$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed New York Mets | 1c | 2,210$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Mets | 71c | 1,967$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.96 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked New York Mets | 9c | 1,960$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.27 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked New York Mets | 53c | 1,933$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.32 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed New York Mets | 25c | 1,892$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.71 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 1,804$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.02 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 1,742$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.39 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 65c | 1,630$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.24 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 1,622$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.27 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed New York Mets | 31c | 1,603$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.39 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed New York Mets | 23c | 1,578$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.51 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 1,573$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.5 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked New York Mets | 49c | 1,444$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.56 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 1,096$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.53 | 300 | 40.7%122 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked New York Mets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 369 | 32.8%121 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbff…d177backed New York Mets | 51c | 951.07$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.05 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed New York Mets | 74c | 912$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.71 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -8.9wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 49c | 911.42$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.4 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 890.05$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.22 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Mets | 50c | 836.08$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.86 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 823$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.24 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 809.23$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.54 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Mets | 50c | 801.81$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.05 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed New York Mets | 42c | 755$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.93 | 945 | 55.2%522 W · 423 L | +31.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed New York Mets | 10c | 703.31$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 665.92$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.64 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Chicago Cubs | 73c | 615.87$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Mets | 21c | 605.8$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.22 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…076fbacked New York Mets | 50c | 603.05$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.19 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed New York Mets | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked New York Mets | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed New York Mets | 34c | 576.47$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed New York Mets | 71c | 559.52$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed New York Mets | 15c | 548.46$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.71 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 543.01$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.23 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed New York Mets | 42c | 538.5$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.79 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed New York Mets | 9c | 538.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 508.39$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.57 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed New York Mets | 44c | 502.05$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.11 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 36c | 497.21$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed New York Mets | 31c | 496.65$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.88 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked New York Mets | 50c | 496$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed New York Mets | 53c | 433$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.49 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed New York Mets | 27c | 419$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.66 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 406.85$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.01 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9063…da18backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 405.64$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.23 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.39per pick | 52cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed New York Mets | 57c | 353$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.51 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets | 39c | 350.31$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.28 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 350$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked New York Mets | 49c | 332.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.17 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed New York Mets | 45c | 326.4$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 324.88$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.94 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Chicago Cubs | 64c | 320.16$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.25 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 319.4$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.7 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked New York Mets | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 299.97$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed New York Mets | 51c | 294.2$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.94 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633a…844dbacked Chicago Cubs | 35c | 279.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Mets | 49c | 270.86$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed New York Mets | 49c | 264$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.52 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed New York Mets | 16c | 262.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked New York Mets | 45c | 240.2$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.09 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc494…543cbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 236.68$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.68 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed New York Mets | 45c | 235$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…ea98backed New York Mets | 70c | 225.83$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.08 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed New York Mets | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed New York Mets | 49c | 220.94$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.43 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed New York Mets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 286 | 39.2%112 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. New York Metsthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. New York MetsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.