MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95549cacb5b40e77e08a8c6d9926dd9c858fbeccdecd699c65b1f809976ad838
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Arizona Diamondbacks, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 16,521$7,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,007.34 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 15,871$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,094.43 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 12,431$6,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,341.38 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 0c | 12,112$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 9,041$5,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,618.73 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 6,844$3,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,490.28 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed St. Louis Cardinals | 18c | 6,603$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.69 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 5,663$2,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,988.03 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 4,819$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,126.19 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 4,410$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.42 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 1c | 3,304$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 2,844$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.28 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 2,637$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.89 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 2,090$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.09 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 10c | 2,089$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.17 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,640$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 1c | 1,600$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 982.7$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.18 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 21c | 958.64$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.83 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 28c | 952.1$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.25 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 789.19$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.38 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 787.77$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.15 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 24c | 734$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.33 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 75c | 712.32$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.1 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 639.19$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.38 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 627$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.77 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 597.77$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.84 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 580.63$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.93 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 530.6$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.59 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 509.77$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.49 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed St. Louis Cardinals | 11c | 462.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 460$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.2 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 410.71$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.76 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed St. Louis Cardinals | 17c | 366$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 26c | 365.15$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 350$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 349.44$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.48 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 307.17$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.57 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 299.97$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 28c | 253.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 243.84$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.68 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 26c | 239.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 28c | 226.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 13c | 226$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 211.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.75 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 191.46$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.64 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c54…9f63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 183.81$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 65c | 175.48$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.83 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed St. Louis Cardinals | 16c | 165.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 156$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 67c | 154.68$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 319 | 63%201 W · 118 L | +27.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 152.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 147.3$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 147$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.49 | 378 | 68.8%260 W · 118 L | +25.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 26c | 121.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 115.84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 113.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 106.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 106.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…ed90backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 105$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 102.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 99.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 99.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9063…da18backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 98.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.39per pick | 52cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeae4…5c60backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000a…6cf7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 88.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 252 | 60.7%153 W · 99 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 87.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 19c | 85.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 81.73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4c…fc89backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 81.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 298 | 43.6%130 W · 168 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 80.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…28d6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 197 | 54.8%108 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 69.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 459 | 52.9%243 W · 216 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 68.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 66.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980c…6e0abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 26c | 60.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 22c | 56.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.