TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x980c…6e0a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT3129%9 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.92
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.11
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$8.11
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.69
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.31
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.18
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+213.7%+$102.33
Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.49
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.75
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.71
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.32
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52.53
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$79.24
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+115.9%+$124.89
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.9
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.31
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.64
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.5
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.81
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+150.2%+$23.44
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.67
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.52
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$17.71
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$16.54
Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.7
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.48
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Metsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+124.3%+$16.41
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$23.14
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.62
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$30.7
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+143.2%+$34.77
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.12
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.22
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.99
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+240.3%+$32.54
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$17.14
All 23 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+56.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+129.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$22.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Diyar Nurgozhay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Bergs (-1.5) vs McCabe (+1.5)backed Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.