TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tampa Bay Raysof Arizona Diamondbacks, Tampa Bay Rays
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$199,946
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$209,847

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,946 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks26c32,983$8,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,550.174,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays56c13,888$7,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,110.51,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Arizona Diamondbacks53c11,621$6,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,190.4898149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c11,111$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00034942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Tampa Bay Rays56c8,746$4,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,848.4323255.6%129 W · 103 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks44c7,340$3,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,234.274,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays68c5,302$3,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.078,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Arizona Diamondbacks0c5,258$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.358762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Arizona Diamondbacks44c4,592$2,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,020.615,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb56d…d621backed Tampa Bay Rays56c4,464$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.297460.8%45 W · 29 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays76c4,117$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.8510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks44c4,016$1,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,767.016,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Tampa Bay Rays56c3,214$1,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.772,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Tampa Bay Rays56c2,857$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.1423357.9%135 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks44c2,834$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.863,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks43c2,725$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.762,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Tampa Bay Rays56c2,700$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18820455.9%114 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Tampa Bay Rays56c2,679$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.5766050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Tampa Bay Rays56c2,679$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.5722257.2%127 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Tampa Bay Rays56c2,678$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.323551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9675248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c2,438$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.389153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a5a…597abacked Arizona Diamondbacks26c2,353$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.768729.9%26 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9b9…04f6backed Arizona Diamondbacks26c2,347$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.153828.9%11 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Tampa Bay Rays73c2,180$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.2795045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Tampa Bay Rays52c2,100$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01437032.7%121 W · 249 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Tampa Bay Rays55c1,966$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.242,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks44c1,818$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.921,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks31c1,588$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.328,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Arizona Diamondbacks44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.9769351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks34c1,418$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.4212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks44c1,267$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.542,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Tampa Bay Rays56c1,251$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.411,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Tampa Bay Rays56c1,250$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c1,200$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.991,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Tampa Bay Rays54c1,184$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.429455.3%52 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Tampa Bay Rays48c1,118$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.4213542.2%57 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Tampa Bay Rays56c1,116$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.0718658.6%109 W · 77 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Tampa Bay Rays56c1,055$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.218860.1%113 W · 75 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Arizona Diamondbacks35c894.57$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.461,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Tampa Bay Rays56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8628152%146 W · 135 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Tampa Bay Rays61c762$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.464,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a15…bdbdbacked Tampa Bay Rays56c675.32$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.14771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Arizona Diamondbacks44c660$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.473849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac65…cfe6backed Tampa Bay Rays52c648.94$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.9413759.1%81 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ed…0a9fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks45c544.44$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24510145.5%46 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7693…470fbacked Tampa Bay Rays56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7121354.5%116 W · 97 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Tampa Bay Rays56c535.7$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.714454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a49…651abacked Tampa Bay Rays56c535$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.423052.6%121 W · 109 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Tampa Bay Rays56c533.93$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9321146.4%98 W · 113 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Tampa Bay Rays55c533.85$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.231,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22572648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50ee…a1ffbacked Arizona Diamondbacks48c499.98$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.991250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks53c490.4$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.915,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c466.67$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101,16849%572 W · 596 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eac…6c20backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c462.22$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce00…7d1dbacked Tampa Bay Rays56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4317952.5%94 W · 85 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks16c433$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.034,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks45c420$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1891,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0972…9d1ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks49c409.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c400.5$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.237447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Tampa Bay Rays77c391.37$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6280159.2%474 W · 327 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6451…b57abacked Arizona Diamondbacks45c379.62$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8314841.2%61 W · 87 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c362.21$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.971,27743.1%550 W · 727 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Tampa Bay Rays56c351.79$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.7921853.2%116 W · 102 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd93e…7434backed Arizona Diamondbacks15c347.52$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.326021.7%13 W · 47 L-8.6wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-46.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Arizona Diamondbacks44c340.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15051545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c340$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531,20543%518 W · 687 L+4.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Tampa Bay Rays56c335.89$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7937052.2%193 W · 177 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays55c321$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.4555653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Arizona Diamondbacks22c315.22$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3554715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Tampa Bay Rays55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13558652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Arizona Diamondbacks17c300$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Tampa Bay Rays55c299.99$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa689…15fcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks47c296.54$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.0624346.9%114 W · 129 L-1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Arizona Diamondbacks39c295.66$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.681,12144.1%494 W · 627 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Arizona Diamondbacks23c284.63$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.431,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaea5…26e3backed Tampa Bay Rays56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8619454.6%106 W · 88 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Tampa Bay Rays77c260$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9894655.3%523 W · 423 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Tampa Bay Rays55c254.55$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5518649.5%92 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Tampa Bay Rays47c250.02$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.8155758%323 W · 234 L+24.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Arizona Diamondbacks13c249.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.527231.3%85 W · 187 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Tampa Bay Rays56c249.76$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.91,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays43c249.5$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.736,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks7c245.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.221,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Tampa Bay Rays56c241.07$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0781257.3%465 W · 347 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…2dafbacked Tampa Bay Rays53c233.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.68650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Tampa Bay Rays47c231$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4330140.5%122 W · 179 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Arizona Diamondbacks44c230$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.21,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a70…4865backed Tampa Bay Rays56c226.79$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.797358.9%43 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Arizona Diamondbacks45c225.15$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3284049.4%415 W · 425 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Arizona Diamondbacks42c221.14$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.685949.1%422 W · 437 L-3.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Arizona Diamondbacks9c219.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.714043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Tampa Bay Rays56c214.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2934255.3%189 W · 153 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks43c206.21$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6790446.9%424 W · 480 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks45c203$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.62,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2de9…5289backed Arizona Diamondbacks44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8854945.4%249 W · 300 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb92…b221backed Arizona Diamondbacks44c199.99$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8837944.3%168 W · 211 L-17.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Arizona Diamondbacks44c199.97$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.993,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.