MLB · resolved market
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaea18e8ecfbf59be46b42cf5535a1171276ec9ac9e971503989328f709c171e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Tampa Bay Rays, Arizona Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 30,817$17,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,800 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 60c | 21,906$13,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,105.51 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 20,490$9,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,778.33 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 14,018$5,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,691.16 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 7,807$4,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,243.77 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 4,016$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.87 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Tampa Bay Rays | 72c | 2,001$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.75 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 1,884$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.92 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 1,585$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.38 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 1,511$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.89 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.99 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 1,391$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.28 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 1,154$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.23 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 1,133$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.92 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 1,022$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.08 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 934.37$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.47 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 21c | 686.24$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.82 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 680.69$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.11 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 609.88$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.25 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 600$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 503.26$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.78 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 478.84$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.67 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 328.95$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.95 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 310.06$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.19 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 261.32$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.63 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 232.18$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.6 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 210.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.75 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 210.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.75 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 210.52$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.52 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 187$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 152.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.21 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 88.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Tampa Bay Rays | 72c | 75.54$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 74.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 71.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 68.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 57.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 53.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 63c | 53.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…9689backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 61c | 49.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 45.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 44.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 43.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 38.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be5…e3cabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 37.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 33.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…4c78backed Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 26.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 26.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…8f86backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff32…7da9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 19.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 62c | 16.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 16.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…9b71backed Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9176…d962backed Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)this page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.