MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8249e710309a8b921adfd8cc48e4358ffcce41a9c6cb6260f316c76df4ec8b00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $199,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 51c | 172,173$87,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,367.44 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Over | 49c | 51,759$25,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,361.8 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 49c | 40,947$20,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,064.1 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 49c | 30,052$14,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,725.36 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Over | 49c | 11,975$5,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,867.71 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 49c | 6,442$3,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,156.58 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 5,594$2,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652.36 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 30c | 5,304$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.84 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 15c | 3,279$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.85 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 2,381$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.74 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 52c | 2,205$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.31 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked Over | 53c | 2,194$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.82 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 49c | 1,846$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.41 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 49c | 1,452$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.48 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 50c | 1,188$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.34 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 53c | 1,133$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 50c | 1,111$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.5 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.55 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 49c | 1,024$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.76 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 49c | 999.97$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 918.51$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.04 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 15c | 713$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.95 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 30c | 689.6$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.69 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 49c | 648.12$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.58 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 637.74$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.49 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 49c | 603.67$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.8 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 48c | 599.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 51c | 573$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.13 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 61c | 506.05$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.44 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 49c | 357$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.93 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 49c | 309.59$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.79 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 39c | 303.57$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.42 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 22c | 266.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 26c | 216$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 196.79$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…b79fbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +39%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 33c | 181.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb96…ea06backed Over | 49c | 177.24$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.85 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 36c | 166$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.24 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 40c | 156.44$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.24 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 48c | 144.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 49c | 144.04$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.58 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Over | 49c | 144$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 76c | 135.04$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Over | 49c | 134.69$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 65c | 128.38$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 15c | 125.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 67c | 118$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.06 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 48c | 108.72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 49c | 101$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d2…4268backed Over | 51c | 79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe3…a9f7backed Under | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab10…b659backed Over | 49c | 64.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 49c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…4c78backed Over | 33c | 60.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 38c | 52.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 45c | 50.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 420 | 47.9%201 W · 219 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed Over | 49c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…1068backed Over | 48c | 47.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…55abbacked Over | 32c | 47.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 49c | 47.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 30c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 44.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Under | 51c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 41.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 49c | 34.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 33.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…7c8fbacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…2c05backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…8beebacked Under | 69c | 29.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 72c | 28.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 40c | 26.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5this page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.