TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,849

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,635 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa01e…bea9backed No44c8,687$3,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,801.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes58c5,002$2,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,104.1331342.5%133 W · 180 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes76c3,583$2,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.756134.4%21 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Yes57c3,178$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.981952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes56c2,661$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.7445042%189 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked No48c2,363$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.247241.7%30 W · 42 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No55c2,352$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.170435.8%252 W · 452 L-27.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No37c2,169$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.861,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No48c2,046$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.1888137.7%332 W · 549 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No45c1,911$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.0624340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No7c1,645$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3743333.5%145 W · 288 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Yes70c1,620$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.946033.3%20 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes60c1,515$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.1587531.1%272 W · 603 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes59c1,184$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.2899435%348 W · 646 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes56c1,148$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.4561447.2%290 W · 324 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes54c1,071$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.223655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No17c976.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.1114736.1%53 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No42c914$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.6640250.7%204 W · 198 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No42c914$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.6648947.6%233 W · 256 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No42c913.95$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.6460648.3%293 W · 313 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes55c910.87$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.893935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes60c828.27$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.319947.5%47 W · 52 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a1…30d1backed Yes32c817$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.561580%12 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+64.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x4388…fdbebacked No40c805.57$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes33c700$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4708859.1%52 W · 36 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes53c600$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2808038.8%31 W · 49 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Yes58c585$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.712250.8%62 W · 60 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes57c563.98$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.4552046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes74c499.99$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1305763.2%36 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes58c496$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.198138.3%31 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No4c480$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No20c428.03$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8242647.9%204 W · 222 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No4c400$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.22520%5 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes61c399.24$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4310539%41 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0050…ed47backed Yes58c372.07$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes60c350.36$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8425729.6%76 W · 181 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes53c327.24$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.7316440.9%67 W · 97 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes32c312.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.421855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+47.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6560…a77cbacked Yes49c274.24$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10536742.8%157 W · 210 L-22.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e56…d55ebacked No23c235.73$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.771650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes56c229.29$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.8928651%146 W · 140 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No21c222$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5259136.5%216 W · 375 L-30.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes41c220.62$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.4110840.7%44 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75a4…3d29backed No46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ef5…5ce9backed Yes58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ff…879cbacked No40c199.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No13c196.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.486437.5%24 W · 40 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes79c189.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.872857.1%16 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No12c180.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.912039.2%47 W · 73 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No8c178.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.833151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6787…ff88backed Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Yes58c177.37$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.875947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.678650%43 W · 43 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No8c164.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0516350.9%83 W · 80 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes56c156.05$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6927236.4%99 W · 173 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked No46c141.3$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659549.5%47 W · 48 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65fa…4c6abacked Yes58c137.93$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.932259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Yes60c129.33$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.733161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed Yes60c127.1$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8412219.7%24 W · 98 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked No45c125$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0814238%54 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes56c124.63$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.23837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-43.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20aa…b3dcbacked No41c121.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.971050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb135…b9febacked No42c121$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.82837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d06…11fbbacked Yes59c121$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Yes58c102.49$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.051266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No44c102.04$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9463150.2%317 W · 314 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464740.4%19 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409743.3%42 W · 55 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No47c97.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0514742.9%63 W · 84 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f79…d807backed Yes60c96.9$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.761553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes58c91$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.222352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked Yes34c88.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.231346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed No43c77.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.529747.4%46 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes59c77$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.64077.5%31 W · 9 L+7.5wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+42.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No42c76.7$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.211566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed No42c72.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.719752.6%51 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed No42c72.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.52540%10 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16c6…19e2backed No38c71.23$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.88825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-48%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc99c…62aebacked Yes58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.971030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No41c59.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.645455.6%30 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Yes58c59.9$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.161050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No45c59.61$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.829858.4%174 W · 124 L+17.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f53…5e9fbacked Yes79c56.96$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.961258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Yes58c56.9$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.92548%12 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36fe…b131backed Yes49c55.05$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.261258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Yes56c53.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.586947.8%33 W · 36 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x63fc…4a6cbacked Yes58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.725100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+224.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes58c51.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.721346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.855470.4%38 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e2a…40b3backed Yes60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+112.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked No43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.55337.7%20 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.189650%48 W · 48 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Yes58c49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.58862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed No41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205448.1%26 W · 28 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb1…fa48backed No44c45.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadbc…8af3backed Yes52c44.26$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7609…4094backed Yes60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.672867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+62.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Yes32c41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.881566.7%10 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+177.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.