Champions League · resolved market
Will FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6be1a90d2071e0897d2e2033104d293e50d6cb8b363b358535da81678f84553e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 59c | 1,693$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.76 | 498 | 40.4%201 W · 297 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 48c | 1,260$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.43 | 749 | 35.4%265 W · 484 L | -30.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 50c | 892.86$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.26 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Yes | 23c | 797$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 27c | 599.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed No | 50c | 581.13$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.57 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 580.77$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.15 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 572.33$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.49 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 554.7$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.32 | 664 | 46.2%307 W · 357 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 55c | 499.6$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.8 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 25c | 356.75$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 77c | 326.68$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.76 | 309 | 49.8%154 W · 155 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 80c | 220.85$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 614 | 37.5%230 W · 384 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 22c | 219.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 522 | 46.7%244 W · 278 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 35c | 209.23$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 76c | 202.72$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 676 | 49.4%334 W · 342 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 24c | 198$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 162$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 611 | 48.3%295 W · 316 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 76c | 104.87$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 77c | 76.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 76.56$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 41c | 70.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 315 | 56.5%178 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 29c | 67.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 40c | 60.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed No | 62c | 59.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…6b36backed Yes | 23c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 78c | 54.03$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed No | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255c…6e58backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…4effbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…ea79backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…845fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 75c | 28.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed No | 70c | 27.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 76c | 23.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 77c | 21.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +82%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 76c | 15.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 76c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 77c | 13.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?this page
- Will FK Sutjeska Nikšić win on 2026-07-15?No won
- Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.