Champions League · resolved market
Will FK Sutjeska Nikšić win on 2026-07-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebfe22a1e0155067c7cf1d5962954c0e27dff924c5fe0b5deb8cadb9a805c6fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 21c | 7,484$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.46 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 18c | 2,428$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.84 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 80c | 1,966$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.03 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 1,316$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.05 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 91 | 19.8%18 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 79c | 987.98$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.38 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 21c | 947.02$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.22 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 80c | 595.55$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 78c | 437.01$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.07 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 18c | 325.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 222 | 45%100 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 18c | 299.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 179 | 7.8%14 W · 165 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 79c | 266.2$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 79c | 246.4$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 78c | 241.01$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 358 | 60.6%217 W · 141 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe247…edf1backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 80c | 200.01$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 79c | 200$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 20c | 174.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed Yes | 21c | 166.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 162$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…2aecbacked Yes | 21c | 95.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 79c | 81.46$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722b…c68bbacked Yes | 22c | 76.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 20c | 60.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Yes | 18c | 59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 79c | 57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Yes | 18c | 57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 80c | 38.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 78c | 27.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed No | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 78cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 80c | 24.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 20.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…a6e3backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Sutjeska Nikšić win on 2026-07-15?this page
- Will FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?No won
- Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.