MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40fac8e2827c972e8536e9fa1e21efc4628256cfbf3bda8c3dfa0a99a81f2264
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $366,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $397,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $366,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 20,315$9,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,910.75 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaf…b21abacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 16,525$7,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,433.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 15,249$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 15,000$8,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,203.23 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 13,818$6,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,720.65 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 11,137$5,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,679.86 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 9,727$5,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,242.59 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 9,633$4,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,816.52 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…8a41backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 8,500$4,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,734.99 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 8,414$4,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,047.29 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 7,653$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,903.06 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 7,513$2,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.1 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 6,441$4,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.16 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 6,132$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.49 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Washington Nationals | 36c | 5,459$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,493.71 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 4,888$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.16 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Washington Nationals | 37c | 4,835$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,034.67 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Washington Nationals | 74c | 4,541$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.58 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 4,125$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 10c | 4,086$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.45 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 4,082$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.11 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 3,988$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.89 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 3,830$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.6 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Washington Nationals | 70c | 3,676$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.76 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 3,574$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.82 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ec…becbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 3,535$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 3,415$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.04 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 3,415$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.41 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9f…2087backed Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 3,275$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 2,930$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.3 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 2,693$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.36 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 2,456$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.85 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 2,366$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.73 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 1,921$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.64 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 1,904$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.99 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Baltimore Orioles | 24c | 1,570$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.2 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Baltimore Orioles | 7c | 1,214$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.01 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…4883backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 1,002$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.01 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 990$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 973.92$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.14 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Baltimore Orioles | 25c | 968.62$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.87 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 945$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.95 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 813.52$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.61 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 750.04$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.51 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 749.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 712.24$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 687.14$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.4 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 659.69$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.89 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 653.08$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.4 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df3…dc6fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 642.38$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Washington Nationals | 69c | 601.03$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.34 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 598.75$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.74 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 586$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.23 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…8416backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 585.71$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 582.42$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.03 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Washington Nationals | 46c | 521.74$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.74 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…4440backed Washington Nationals | 62c | 517.57$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.31 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 460$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.6 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Washington Nationals | 53c | 403.36$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.95 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…8f92backed Washington Nationals | 65c | 384.61$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.61 | 144 | 69.4%100 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 382.06$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.6 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 380.7$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 377.13$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.69 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b8…8712backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 345.76$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.59 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…8516backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 343.48$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.26 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 319.76$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.4 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 317.56$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.59 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 315$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.65 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 302.94$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 301.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Washington Nationals | 70c | 299.06$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.33 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Washington Nationals | 75c | 279.36$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.83 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 275.16$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.72 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Baltimore Orioles | 7c | 261$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 260.87$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.04 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…1029backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 260.52$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.47 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 260.42$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.23 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 256.55$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.49 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 238.46$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.67 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Baltimore Orioles | 22c | 233$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 225$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.