TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, New York Mets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$557,361
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$572,248

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $557,361 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d4f…e5f3backed Philadelphia Phillies60c203,312$121,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,324.651656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e94…5ba1backed New York Mets40c175,000$70,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70,00046949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Philadelphia Phillies59c100,000$59,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,999.9744851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed New York Mets41c79,621$32,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,644.445440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets33c71,585$23,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,481.444,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies70c44,695$31,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,416.4910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked New York Mets40c30,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,999.9377053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies60c19,308$11,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,723.324,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets41c18,968$7,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,7771,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets40c17,356$6,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,942.43,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Philadelphia Phillies60c11,134$6,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,453.4423255.6%129 W · 103 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed New York Mets41c10,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,10048451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Philadelphia Phillies60c8,333$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,333.3313461.9%83 W · 51 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Philadelphia Phillies58c7,432$4,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,130.641,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Philadelphia Phillies59c6,477$3,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,650.6255053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets40c6,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4005,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets24c5,907$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.276,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies78c5,165$4,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.1311,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked New York Mets46c4,348$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00061351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed New York Mets27c3,953$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.8795045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Philadelphia Phillies58c3,947$2,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.1637032.7%121 W · 249 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed Philadelphia Phillies60c3,300$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32039846.5%185 W · 213 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies59c3,208$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.576,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed New York Mets40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20077951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca4e…f97ebacked New York Mets33c3,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98011347.8%54 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies70c2,731$1,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.8712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed New York Mets34c2,326$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.7913542.2%57 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies70c2,322$1,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.338,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets38c2,120$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.92,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Philadelphia Phillies74c1,852$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.524,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed New York Mets22c1,731$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.362,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed New York Mets16c1,684$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.2866050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Philadelphia Phillies60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.6723357.9%135 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed New York Mets24c1,638$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.021,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed New York Mets25c1,594$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.2779255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a70…4865backed Philadelphia Phillies60c1,333$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.337358.9%43 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Mets40c1,168$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.32,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Philadelphia Phillies68c1,141$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.133864.2%217 W · 121 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Mets19c1,091$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.543,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Philadelphia Phillies71c1,055$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.044,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Philadelphia Phillies56c1,027$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.272,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3603…22edbacked Philadelphia Phillies61c1,024$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.0251849.4%256 W · 262 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58a4…2b32backed New York Mets49c1,024$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets40c978.72$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.581,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed New York Mets43c921.08$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.831,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets21c850.86$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.578,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Philadelphia Phillies60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3318658.6%109 W · 77 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Philadelphia Phillies60c833$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.23551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda48…5926backed New York Mets36c800$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28812339%48 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Philadelphia Phillies68c743.18$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.892,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a15…bdbdbacked Philadelphia Phillies60c742.5$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6451…b57abacked New York Mets41c722.67$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.7214841.2%61 W · 87 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Philadelphia Phillies79c700$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14769453.6%372 W · 322 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Philadelphia Phillies64c699.99$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2521,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed New York Mets41c664.88$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.657548%276 W · 299 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed New York Mets25c651.32$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.121,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84a3…44dcbacked New York Mets46c645.65$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29710344.7%46 W · 57 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed New York Mets68c610$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.394655.3%523 W · 423 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea39…9d34backed Philadelphia Phillies56c600$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26713453%71 W · 63 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de9…5289backed Philadelphia Phillies58c599.95$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.9854945.4%249 W · 300 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b37…318cbacked New York Mets16c564.19$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed New York Mets5c563.95$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1454715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed New York Mets40c550$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22069351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed New York Mets50c513.48$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.741,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Philadelphia Phillies59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2052,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Philadelphia Phillies63c479.66$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.786,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked New York Mets55c474.17$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.025,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0054…59ffbacked Philadelphia Phillies60c471.23$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.492147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked New York Mets27c469.81$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.621,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked New York Mets43c459.28$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.459165.9%60 W · 31 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0972…9d1ebacked New York Mets44c454.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked New York Mets42c445.19$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.9890446.9%424 W · 480 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Philadelphia Phillies69c426.94$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.4585148.5%413 W · 438 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked New York Mets42c420$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1781,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a49…651abacked Philadelphia Phillies60c418$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.223052.6%121 W · 109 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Philadelphia Phillies60c416.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6743153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked New York Mets29c400.45$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3336759.1%217 W · 150 L+26.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb89…c7ebbacked Philadelphia Phillies79c387.01$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.273881.6%31 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick76cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8345…5cadbacked Philadelphia Phillies55c382.34$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.056152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed New York Mets42c371$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.821,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed New York Mets42c364.99$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.421,27743.1%550 W · 727 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3f5…42cabacked Philadelphia Phillies76c351.51$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.365565.5%36 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed New York Mets41c350.85$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.851,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1405…9882backed New York Mets41c347.17$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.348547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Philadelphia Phillies61c340.95$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6352228%146 W · 376 L-57.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed New York Mets42c339.99$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441,20543%518 W · 687 L+4.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Philadelphia Phillies60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3315848.1%76 W · 82 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Philadelphia Phillies69c327.74$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.61,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Mets34c325.91$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.734,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Philadelphia Phillies67c323.81$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7681257.3%465 W · 347 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies47c317.01$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.474,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb92…b221backed New York Mets41c306.98$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8737944.3%168 W · 211 L-17.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Philadelphia Phillies56c305.36$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Philadelphia Phillies59c301.69$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6921853.2%116 W · 102 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked New York Mets24c301.14$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.940447.8%193 W · 211 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Philadelphia Phillies51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1471,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Philadelphia Phillies26c293.64$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.043636.1%13 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.15per pick21cpaid+62.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Philadelphia Phillies52c289.59$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.594443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x334f…0d32backed Philadelphia Phillies68c289$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.5637868.8%260 W · 118 L+25.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa689…15fcbacked New York Mets42c286.94$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5224346.9%114 W · 129 L-1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.