MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3d6f987b056ba304a306fda19638b5ad102436bfdcdccab666031088af0e292
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $557,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $572,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $557,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d4f…e5f3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 203,312$121,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,324.65 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed New York Mets | 40c | 175,000$70,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,000 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 100,000$59,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,999.97 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed New York Mets | 41c | 79,621$32,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,644.44 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets | 33c | 71,585$23,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,481.44 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 44,695$31,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,416.49 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Mets | 40c | 30,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,999.93 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 19,308$11,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,723.32 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 41c | 18,968$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets | 40c | 17,356$6,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,942.4 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 11,134$6,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,453.44 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed New York Mets | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.33 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 7,432$4,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,130.64 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 6,477$3,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.62 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets | 24c | 5,907$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.27 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 5,165$4,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.13 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked New York Mets | 46c | 4,348$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed New York Mets | 27c | 3,953$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.87 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 3,947$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.16 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 3,300$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 3,208$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.57 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed New York Mets | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked New York Mets | 33c | 3,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 2,731$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.87 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed New York Mets | 34c | 2,326$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.79 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 70c | 2,322$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.33 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets | 38c | 2,120$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.9 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Philadelphia Phillies | 74c | 1,852$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.52 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed New York Mets | 22c | 1,731$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.36 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed New York Mets | 16c | 1,684$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.28 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed New York Mets | 24c | 1,638$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.02 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed New York Mets | 25c | 1,594$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.27 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 1,333$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Mets | 40c | 1,168$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.3 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 1,141$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.1 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Mets | 19c | 1,091$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.54 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 71c | 1,055$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.04 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,027$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.27 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 1,024$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.02 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…2b32backed New York Mets | 49c | 1,024$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets | 40c | 978.72$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.58 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed New York Mets | 43c | 921.08$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.83 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets | 21c | 850.86$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.57 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 833$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.2 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed New York Mets | 36c | 800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 743.18$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.89 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a15…bdbdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 742.5$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked New York Mets | 41c | 722.67$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.72 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 700$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 699.99$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed New York Mets | 41c | 664.88$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.6 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed New York Mets | 25c | 651.32$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.12 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked New York Mets | 46c | 645.65$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed New York Mets | 68c | 610$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.3 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 600$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 599.95$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.98 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b37…318cbacked New York Mets | 16c | 564.19$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed New York Mets | 5c | 563.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed New York Mets | 40c | 550$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed New York Mets | 50c | 513.48$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.74 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 479.66$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Mets | 55c | 474.17$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.02 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…59ffbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 471.23$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.49 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked New York Mets | 27c | 469.81$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.62 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked New York Mets | 43c | 459.28$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.45 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked New York Mets | 44c | 454.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked New York Mets | 42c | 445.19$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.98 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 426.94$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.45 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked New York Mets | 42c | 420$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 418$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.2 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked New York Mets | 29c | 400.45$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.33 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb89…c7ebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 387.01$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.27 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 382.34$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.05 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed New York Mets | 42c | 371$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.82 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed New York Mets | 42c | 364.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.42 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f5…42cabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 351.51$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.36 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed New York Mets | 41c | 350.85$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.85 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…9882backed New York Mets | 41c | 347.17$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.34 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 340.95$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.63 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed New York Mets | 42c | 339.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 69c | 327.74$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Mets | 34c | 325.91$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.73 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 323.81$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.76 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 317.01$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.47 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed New York Mets | 41c | 306.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.87 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 305.36$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 301.69$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.69 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked New York Mets | 24c | 301.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Philadelphia Phillies | 26c | 293.64$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.04 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 289.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.59 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 289$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.56 | 378 | 68.8%260 W · 118 L | +25.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked New York Mets | 42c | 286.94$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.52 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Metsthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 4.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.