MLB · resolved market
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf94136859320cde5d12b534f997761ada5acdab7e4e752f86cc94f8383dc5ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof Philadelphia Phillies, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $578,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $588,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $578,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 403,198$196,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196,785.16 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed New York Mets | 51c | 309,779$158,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151,693.76 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 66,666$32,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,999.65 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed New York Mets | 52c | 57,002$29,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,132.3 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets | 52c | 52,488$27,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,238.9 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 37,865$17,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,896.59 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets | 52c | 22,700$11,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,812.86 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets | 52c | 17,940$9,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,699.07 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked New York Mets | 52c | 14,161$7,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,797.04 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed New York Mets | 52c | 11,244$5,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,396.89 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed New York Mets | 52c | 10,000$5,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked New York Mets | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.99 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x132f…453bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 8,159$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Mets | 52c | 8,032$4,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,837.92 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 51c | 7,937$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,887.19 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed New York Mets | 52c | 7,777$4,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,732.95 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 5,064$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.23 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Mets | 52c | 4,503$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.71 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets | 53c | 3,400$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 2,464$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.9 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Mets | 53c | 2,057$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.04 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 1,693$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.75 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 1,439$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed New York Mets | 50c | 1,181$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.77 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f14…a4ebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 1,131$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed New York Mets | 53c | 1,097$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.59 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.68 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Mets | 52c | 999.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 993$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.71 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked New York Mets | 52c | 962$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.76 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 52c | 850.35$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.11 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 30c | 777.94$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.38 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 650$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed New York Mets | 52c | 572.79$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.94 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed New York Mets | 52c | 567.26$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.28 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 52c | 450$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked New York Mets | 52c | 449$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.52 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 444$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.96 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed New York Mets | 50c | 429.98$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.49 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Mets | 52c | 401.88$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.95 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 400$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed New York Mets | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 381.46$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.74 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d01…5e59backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed New York Mets | 52c | 294.64$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 294.59$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.4 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed New York Mets | 52c | 287$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.76 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed New York Mets | 52c | 274$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.47 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a4…fb64backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked New York Mets | 63c | 256.62$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.37 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 255.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed New York Mets | 56c | 214.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.94 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 212.21$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.86 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…5847backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf029…b1c7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 185.82$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.05 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed New York Mets | 52c | 179.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…2d10backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 163.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 163.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 149.91$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.81 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed New York Mets | 53c | 140$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed New York Mets | 51c | 136.37$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed New York Mets | 52c | 135.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 133.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed New York Mets | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed New York Mets | 52c | 127.25$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 117$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad8…8a2cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 106.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…fd79backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 185 | 56.2%104 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 97.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets | 69c | 95.88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 92.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 206 | 57.8%119 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 90.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…3cc1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 86.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 84.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…f60abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…0f2dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…a269backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…f614backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…1068backed New York Mets | 47c | 78.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked New York Mets | 56c | 78$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed New York Mets | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed New York Mets | 53c | 73.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b81…988cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 71.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed New York Mets | 55c | 67.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 65.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 172 | 53.5%92 W · 80 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)this page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York MetsPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 4.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.