MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x276bc80f1f6576865e8db86bf02187daf862303bd6bc6c7b53ebcf62b1585425
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Cincinnati Reds, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $788,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $875,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $788,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 330 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 201,359$100,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,090.42 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 98,224$49,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,111.83 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 52,863$26,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,902.93 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaf…b21abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 13c | 24,949$3,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,155.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 23,912$13,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,605.8 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 21,785$9,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,408.91 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 20,638$9,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,906.31 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.99 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 17,776$8,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,888 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…8a41backed Cincinnati Reds | 77c | 17,500$13,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 14,674$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,896.58 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 14,236$8,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,514.87 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 76c | 13,033$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,132.63 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 12,642$7,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,459.24 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…07b4backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 12,000$4,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,042.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +142%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 9,722$4,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,677.14 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 9,007$4,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,490.77 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 8,962$3,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025.82 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…fb0fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 7,566$3,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,631.63 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 6,666$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.68 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 6,325$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.93 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 5,469$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,324.49 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 5,438$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,279.18 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 5,300$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.15 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 5,015$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.89 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 5,000$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,789.72 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 4,808$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.73 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 4,763$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.85 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 3,789$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.95 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 3,707$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.69 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 3,474$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.02 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 7c | 3,380$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.35 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 3,372$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.11 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 2,894$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.05 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Cincinnati Reds | 77c | 2,622$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.1 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 2,399$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.95 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 2,238$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.94 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cincinnati Reds | 73c | 2,221$1,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.41 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 2,220$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.81 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 2,167$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.88 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 2,047$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.2 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 2,041$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.56 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 1,860$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.4 | 447 | 50.6%226 W · 221 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cincinnati Reds | 73c | 1,825$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.01 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 1,687$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.42 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.17 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 1,516$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.67 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 1,505$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.85 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,453$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.83 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 1,398$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.94 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 1,377$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.63 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 1,276$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.54 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 1,271$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.08 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 1,219$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.48 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 1,209$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.41 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 1,160$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.49 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 1,107$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.38 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 1,082$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.78 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 1,080$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 1,028$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.06 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 984.38$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.04 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 977.6$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.83 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 919.29$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 20c | 908.32$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.66 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…a24abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 905.75$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.57 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 904.58$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.58 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 874.97$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 870.54$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.71 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 848.23$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.87 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 817$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.5 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 783$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.67 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 29c | 735$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.55 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 733.63$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.53 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 701.93$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.28 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 680.36$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.24 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 595.09$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.07 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 72c | 542.44$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 515$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.73 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +207.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 482.65$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.85 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 471.97$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.48 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…0845backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 458.33$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 444.38$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.93 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 442.66$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.5 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…bc18backed Cincinnati Reds | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f6…6eafbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 436.87$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 419.83$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.03 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 415.11$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.16 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 405.14$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.2 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 13.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 14.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.