MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8860b62c353ebb9313bfbe2f82d06f33dcb4579bd437dcb7af8f9107244b311d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $516,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $530,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $516,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 288 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Houston Astros | 45c | 45,000$20,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,749.98 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Houston Astros | 48c | 40,187$19,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,904.44 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 37,290$20,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,509.54 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.98 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Houston Astros | 46c | 19,949$9,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,772.37 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 29c | 16,388$4,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,581.29 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Detroit Tigers | 9c | 15,748$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.32 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 13,892$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Detroit Tigers | 73c | 10,584$7,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,764.4 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 9,941$5,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,110.59 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 44c | 9,872$4,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,485.73 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Detroit Tigers | 9c | 9,562$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.38 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Houston Astros | 31c | 8,620$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,979.3 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Houston Astros | 65c | 7,000$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…37a7backed Houston Astros | 66c | 5,864$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 58c | 5,595$3,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.25 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 5,391$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965.01 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Houston Astros | 56c | 5,152$2,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.87 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Detroit Tigers | 71c | 4,917$3,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500.81 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros | 46c | 4,283$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.43 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Detroit Tigers | 22c | 4,246$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Detroit Tigers | 69c | 4,026$2,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,768.51 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 3,677$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.48 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 3,333$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.14 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Houston Astros | 45c | 3,264$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Houston Astros | 46c | 3,245$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.57 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…2cd9backed Houston Astros | 65c | 2,793$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aaf…b21abacked Houston Astros | 36c | 2,731$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Detroit Tigers | 33c | 2,669$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.3 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 2,630$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.1 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Detroit Tigers | 72c | 2,154$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.11 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 2,029$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.94 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.91 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Houston Astros | 21c | 1,985$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.15 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 1,710$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.3 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 1,562$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.58 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Detroit Tigers | 35c | 1,440$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Houston Astros | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,261$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.55 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a9…31b7backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 1,255$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Houston Astros | 49c | 1,145$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.26 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 1,038$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.61 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Detroit Tigers | 56c | 1,023$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.24 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 45c | 1,020$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.6 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 1,000$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Detroit Tigers | 6c | 999$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Houston Astros | 67c | 998.06$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.15 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Houston Astros | 45c | 973$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.02 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…5f06backed Houston Astros | 76c | 911.09$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.66 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 904.45$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.4 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Houston Astros | 21c | 809.52$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.52 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 741.99$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.68 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 732.67$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.97 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Detroit Tigers | 56c | 720$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.2 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Houston Astros | 43c | 631.23$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.8 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc41…6b74backed Detroit Tigers | 15c | 628.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Detroit Tigers | 65c | 626.99$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.59 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Detroit Tigers | 33c | 622.47$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.36 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 45c | 610.33$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.38 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked Detroit Tigers | 23c | 591.88$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.17 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Detroit Tigers | 38c | 579.59$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.84 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 573.63$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.76 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ee…a1ffbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 550$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 549.95$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.67 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…470fbacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Detroit Tigers | 66c | 538.73$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.99 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Detroit Tigers | 68c | 533.2$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.05 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 528.89$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.89 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 521.31$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.72 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Houston Astros | 46c | 493.2$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.17 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Houston Astros | 45c | 472.34$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.7 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 466.15$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.72 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Houston Astros | 72c | 461.06$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.74 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Detroit Tigers | 66c | 452.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Houston Astros | 45c | 449.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Houston Astros | 45c | 443.94$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.17 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Houston Astros | 41c | 429.7$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.11 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Houston Astros | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Houston Astros | 45c | 424.97$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.33 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Houston Astros | 27c | 420.82$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.93 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 404.14$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Houston Astros | 15c | 400$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Houston Astros | 64c | 389.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.23 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb89…c7ebbacked Houston Astros | 79c | 387.01$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.27 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Detroit Tigers | 5c | 369.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…8f92backed Detroit Tigers | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 144 | 69.4%100 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Detroit Tigers | 37c | 350$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Detroit Tigers | 66c | 340$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Houston Astros | 45c | 339.92$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.96 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Detroit Tigers | 72c | 331$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.75 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Detroit Tigers | 20c | 329.36$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Detroit Tigers | 25c | 322.84$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 319.98$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.39 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Detroit Tigers | 48c | 314.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb4…1a00backed Detroit Tigers | 19c | 309.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Houston Astros | 47c | 309$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.85 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Houston Astros | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 299.91$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.95 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigersthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 12.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 13.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.