MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b68a020e662b217497462b3d6d778a3c836c5be1431694b9eaa7b70c3186011
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Miami Marlins, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $287,914
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $316,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,914 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 62c | 20,080$12,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,721.8 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,999.75 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 18,187$9,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,086.57 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 15,554$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…649dbacked Miami Marlins | 41c | 14,400$5,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,516 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 10,515$5,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,585.12 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 3c | 9,351$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.05 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 14c | 8,206$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.4 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 6,408$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480.29 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 79c | 6,079$4,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.75 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 5,500$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804.92 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 4,903$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,402.69 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 4,611$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.24 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 4,528$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.7 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 4,130$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.31 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 3,674$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.74 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins | 61c | 2,808$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.42 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 2,641$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.87 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 2,518$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.04 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 2,444$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.16 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 2,091$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.45 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 1,860$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.6 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,748$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.69 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 1,574$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.48 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 1,518$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.63 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,497$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.6 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Miami Marlins | 53c | 1,479$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.79 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 66c | 1,435$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.87 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Miami Marlins | 78c | 1,380$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.05 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,345$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.39 | 389 | 56.8%221 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 1,168$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.32 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed St. Louis Cardinals | 22c | 1,140$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.12 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 1,132$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.52 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins | 70c | 1,102$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.43 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 905$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.5 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 21c | 896.25$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.21 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 867$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.5 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Miami Marlins | 27c | 814.81$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.81 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 814.66$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.69 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 735.29$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.29 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 627.45$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.45 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 603.25$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.94 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 584$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f42…86b8backed Miami Marlins | 79c | 566.91$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 552$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.6 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…053abacked Miami Marlins | 37c | 544.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.83 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…8598backed Miami Marlins | 31c | 542.52$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami Marlins | 66c | 539.03$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.2 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 530.61$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.61 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Miami Marlins | 59c | 517.63$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.55 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 515$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.1 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 482.91$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.16 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 27c | 467.5$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 437.65$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.65 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 428.9$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.84 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed St. Louis Cardinals | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Miami Marlins | 77c | 407$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb89…c7ebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 79c | 387.01$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.74 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 376.84$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.42 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 372.19$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.82 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 368.3$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.87 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 365.61$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.02 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 349.99$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.99 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a4…8c2ebacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 340.63$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.91 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 22c | 325.01$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 315$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.84 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…88d4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 9c | 308.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Miami Marlins | 63c | 301.45$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.75 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc41…6b74backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 299.9$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.95 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 296$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.37 | 945 | 55.2%522 W · 423 L | +31.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 285.11$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.33 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 267.05$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.53 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Miami Marlins | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 249$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.15 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x054d…97c5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 248.92$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.32 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 240$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 239.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 236.6$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.67 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 5c | 236.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 230$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 280 | 45.7%128 W · 152 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Miami Marlins | 36c | 212.33$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.89 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Miami Marlins | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…4280backed St. Louis Cardinals | 27c | 182.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…56b7backed Miami Marlins | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 25c | 164.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 2.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 3.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 4.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.