MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x971858180b2b19a16c4f3381beddf47ea0830c193c1088b3edf2c7b0ce799912
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $378,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $394,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $378,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 55c | 25,412$13,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,465.57 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 20,625$9,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,708.05 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox | 39c | 18,064$7,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,033.31 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 17,460$8,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,882.29 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 14,956$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,178.77 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…e4d0backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 14,689$7,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,047.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago White Sox | 60c | 12,411$7,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,453.65 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 9,944$5,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,786.36 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 8,263$4,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,116.36 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago White Sox | 45c | 6,431$2,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906.53 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 6,000$2,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,895 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 5,945$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.83 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 5,800$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897.63 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cleveland Guardians | 72c | 5,608$4,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.77 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 5,172$3,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.19 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 4,686$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.59 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 4,443$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 3,552$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.88 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 3,373$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.69 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 3,007$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.64 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Chicago White Sox | 25c | 2,772$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.17 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 72c | 2,151$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.39 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 1,688$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.33 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 1,623$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox | 32c | 1,599$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.2 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,521$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.33 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 1,473$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.97 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 1,438$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.4 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Chicago White Sox | 26c | 1,283$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.43 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 1,246$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.46 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5845…f0afbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 1,225$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Chicago White Sox | 41c | 1,215$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.57 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.87 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 79c | 1,195$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.93 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 1,077$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.73 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox | 31c | 1,027$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.61 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 999.99$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.54 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 963$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.55 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 951.49$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.38 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 940$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 933.94$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.2 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 910.85$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.58 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 896.57$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.57 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 870.52$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.92 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 821.52$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.54 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Chicago White Sox | 31c | 745.01$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.55 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 703.92$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.41 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 693$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.64 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…54adbacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 676$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 653.17$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.52 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 631.58$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.16 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Cleveland Guardians | 74c | 605.5$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.39 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…ffcabacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 600.62$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.34 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8f…3ce9backed Chicago White Sox | 15c | 600$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…9e2dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 15c | 600$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…440fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 15c | 600$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…0690backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 599.43$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.7 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Chicago White Sox | 20c | 592.26$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.34 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Chicago White Sox | 36c | 588.23$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.91 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 587.64$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.05 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 559.05$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.22 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 546$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.08 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 540.58$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.68 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked Cleveland Guardians | 78c | 529.42$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.24 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 500$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.39 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 500$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.41 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc6…a83dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 472.43$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.49 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Chicago White Sox | 49c | 462.84$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.59 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 447.55$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.19 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…1fafbacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 441.92$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.96 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 427.21$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.06 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Chicago White Sox | 4c | 422.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 408$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago White Sox | 50c | 406.11$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.13 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 396.97$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.52 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 389.6$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.11 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 366.17$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.76 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 360.75$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.16 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 359.87$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.94 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7f98backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 327.27$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Chicago White Sox | 39c | 310.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee2e…8aeabacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 308.12$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Chicago White Sox | 51c | 302.82$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.44 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 299.93$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.43 | 704 | 50.1%353 W · 351 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 297.1$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 294.58$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.34 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 290.29$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.15 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Chicago White Sox | 30c | 280.03$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Chicago White Sox | 20c | 278.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f7…9385backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 262.26$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Soxthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.