MLB · resolved market
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe220de1cc3f1ed25beb79841a6f476d04a9609fd012ce4aff192e621360fabcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago White Soxof Cleveland Guardians, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 4,973$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox | 52c | 4,040$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.04 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 19c | 3,285$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.9 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 2,401$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.5 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago White Sox | 65c | 1,451$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.68 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 1,101$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.07 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chicago White Sox | 34c | 1,064$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.12 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b94…b660backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 809.22$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 722.08$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.61 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cleveland Guardians | 32c | 593.78$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.31 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Chicago White Sox | 60c | 526$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.4 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 420$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Chicago White Sox | 64c | 399$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.64 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Chicago White Sox | 36c | 361.72$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.5 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 359.64$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.26 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 359.28$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.82 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 357$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.97 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 355.64$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.59 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 323.2$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.81 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Chicago White Sox | 62c | 302.73$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.04 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Chicago White Sox | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 295.98$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.27 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 278.53$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.3 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a0…c52bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Chicago White Sox | 75c | 224.51$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.13 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 222.91$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…e934backed Chicago White Sox | 68c | 221.01$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox | 48c | 203.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.63 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 202.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.69 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Chicago White Sox | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 194.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 174$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.12 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 162.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.26 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 156.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Chicago White Sox | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7e…363cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 122.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 111$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 193 | 35.8%69 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Chicago White Sox | 60c | 98.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 83.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 469 | 52.5%246 W · 223 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0c…3e4dbacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 81.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Chicago White Sox | 68c | 73.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Chicago White Sox | 31c | 71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Chicago White Sox | 67c | 69.73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 746 | 57.8%431 W · 315 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 62.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 57.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 52.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…d18fbacked Chicago White Sox | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 453 | 48.6%220 W · 233 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf180…3b6cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 41.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34bb…f3e4backed Cleveland Guardians | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd716…5358backed Chicago White Sox | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 33.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ac…427fbacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 30.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Cleveland Guardians | 68c | 29.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 459 | 52.9%243 W · 216 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738e…1f9abacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 25.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Chicago White Sox | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Chicago White Sox | 74c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…8f86backed Chicago White Sox | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)this page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White SoxCleveland Guardians won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White SoxNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.